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Hurricane Epsilon Public Advisory Number 15A
2020-10-22 19:37:51| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 200 PM AST Thu Oct 22 2020 000 WTNT32 KNHC 221737 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Hurricane Epsilon Intermediate Advisory Number 15A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL272020 200 PM AST Thu Oct 22 2020 ...EPSILON NOW MOVING NORTH-NORTHWEST... ...SHOULD PASS WELL EAST OF BERMUDA BUT CAUSE TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS THROUGH TONIGHT... SUMMARY OF 200 PM AST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...31.5N 61.2W ABOUT 215 MI...345 KM ESE OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 335 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...965 MB...28.50 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Bermuda A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 200 PM AST (1800 UTC), the center of Hurricane Epsilon was located near latitude 31.5 North, longitude 61.2 West. Epsilon is moving toward the north-northwest near 8 mph (13 km/h). This general motion is expected today, followed by a northward motion tonight through Friday night, and an acceleration toward the northeast over the weekend. On the forecast track, the center of Epsilon should make its closest approach to, but well to the east of, Bermuda later this evening. Maximum sustained winds remain near 90 mph (150 km/h) with higher gusts. Some fluctuations in intensity are expected during the next couple of days, with gradual weakening forecast by early next week. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 15 miles (30 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 310 miles (500 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 965 mb (28.50 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected intermittently on Bermuda through this evening. SURF: Large swells generated by Epsilon will affect Bermuda, the Bahamas, the Greater Antilles, the Leeward Islands, the east coast of the United States, and Atlantic Canada during the next few days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Blake/Papin
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Hurricane Epsilon Graphics
2020-10-22 16:59:53| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Thu, 22 Oct 2020 14:59:53 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Thu, 22 Oct 2020 15:24:53 GMT
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Summary for Hurricane Epsilon (AT2/AL272020)
2020-10-22 16:58:18| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...EPSILON HAS WEAKENED SINCE YESTERDAY BUT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS STILL EXPECTED ON BERMUDA THROUGH TONIGHT... As of 11:00 AM AST Thu Oct 22 the center of Epsilon was located near 30.9, -61.2 with movement NW at 7 mph. The minimum central pressure was 965 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 90 mph.
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Hurricane Epsilon Public Advisory Number 15
2020-10-22 16:58:18| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 AM AST Thu Oct 22 2020 000 WTNT32 KNHC 221458 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Hurricane Epsilon Advisory Number 15 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL272020 1100 AM AST Thu Oct 22 2020 ...EPSILON HAS WEAKENED SINCE YESTERDAY BUT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS STILL EXPECTED ON BERMUDA THROUGH TONIGHT... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...30.9N 61.2W ABOUT 235 MI...375 KM ESE OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...965 MB...28.50 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Bermuda A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Epsilon was located near latitude 30.9 North, longitude 61.2 West. Epsilon is moving toward the northwest near 7 mph (11 km/h). A turn toward the north-northwest is expected later today, followed by a northward motion tonight through Friday night, and an acceleration toward the northeast over the weekend. On the forecast track, the center of Epsilon is forecast to make its closest approach to, but well to the east of, Bermuda later this evening. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 90 mph (150 km/h) with higher gusts. Some fluctuations in intensity are expected during the next couple of days, with weakening by early next week. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 15 miles (30 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 310 miles (500 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 965 mb (28.50 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected intermittently on Bermuda through this evening. SURF: Large swells generated by Epsilon will affect Bermuda, the Bahamas, the Greater Antilles, the Leeward Islands, the east coast of the United States, and Atlantic Canada during the next few days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 200 PM AST. Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Blake/Papin
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Hurricane Epsilon Forecast Advisory Number 15
2020-10-22 16:57:52| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC THU OCT 22 2020 000 WTNT22 KNHC 221457 TCMAT2 HURRICANE EPSILON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL272020 1500 UTC THU OCT 22 2020 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BERMUDA A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.9N 61.2W AT 22/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 965 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT. 64 KT....... 15NE 10SE 10SW 15NW. 50 KT....... 60NE 40SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT.......270NE 200SE 120SW 270NW. 12 FT SEAS..630NE 360SE 510SW 510NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.9N 61.2W AT 22/1500Z AT 22/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.6N 61.2W FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 31.9N 61.6W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 10SE 10SW 15NW. 50 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT...230NE 200SE 120SW 230NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 33.4N 61.8W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 20SW 25NW. 50 KT... 80NE 70SE 60SW 80NW. 34 KT...200NE 190SE 120SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 35.1N 61.8W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 25NW. 50 KT... 80NE 70SE 60SW 80NW. 34 KT...240NE 200SE 150SW 200NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 36.9N 60.9W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 50SE 40SW 40NW. 50 KT...100NE 110SE 80SW 90NW. 34 KT...300NE 260SE 200SW 220NW. FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 39.6N 57.3W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT...100NE 120SE 120SW 40NW. 34 KT...270NE 270SE 240SW 220NW. FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 43.0N 50.8W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 150SE 120SW 40NW. 34 KT...290NE 320SE 310SW 240NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 52.5N 30.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.9N 61.2W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 22/1800Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE/PAPIN
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