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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2016-06-19 13:34:00| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 191133 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 800 AM EDT SUN JUN 19 2016 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A low pressure system located over the central Bay of Campeche about 200 miles east of Tuxpan, Mexico is producing an area of showers and thunderstorms over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico. The low is moving westward to west-northwestward at around 10 mph and is forecast to reach the coast of eastern Mexico on Monday. Although upper-level winds are only marginally conducive, a tropical depression is still likely to form later today or on Monday. An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate the low this afternoon, if necessary. Regardless of whether or not a tropical cyclone develops, areas of heavy rain are expected over portions of eastern Mexico tonight through Tuesday. These rains could could cause life-threatening flash floods and mud slides, especially in areas of high terrain. For additional information on this system, see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent && High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service are available under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and on the Web at http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.shtml. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi

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