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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2016-09-10 19:29:26| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 101729 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 PM EDT SAT SEP 10 2016 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A broad area of low pressure located a little more than 1000 miles east of the Lesser Antilles has been moving slowly toward the west-northwest. The circulation appears to be better defined today, but the thunderstorm activity near the center remains poorly organized. Conditions are still very favorable for a tropical depression to form by Sunday or Monday while this disturbance moves toward the west-northwest or northwest over the central Atlantic during the next several days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent An area of cloudiness and thunderstorms located north of Puerto Rico and Hispaniola remains disorganized. There are no signs of a surface circulation, and conditions are not expected to be conducive for significant development of this system while it moves generally west-northwestward at around 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent An area of low pressure located over the extreme southeastern Gulf of Mexico is devoid of thunderstorm activity. Upper-level winds are not favorable for development, and the low is forecast to weaken further while it moves westward across the central Gulf of Mexico at 5 to 10 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent $$ Forecaster Avila
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