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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2016-09-11 01:25:59| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 102325 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 800 PM EDT SAT SEP 10 2016 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: An area of low pressure located about 1000 miles east of the Lesser Antilles is moving slowly northwestward. Satellite imagery indicates that the circulation has become better defined today, but the associated thunderstorm has not become any better organized in the past few hours. Conditions are still favorable for a tropical depression to form by during the next day or two while this disturbance moves toward the northwest over the central Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent An area of cloudiness and thunderstorms located north of Hispaniola remains disorganized. There are no signs of a surface circulation, and conditions are not expected to be conducive for significant development of this system while it moves generally west- northwestward at around 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent A weak area of low pressure located over the extreme southeastern Gulf of Mexico remains devoid of thunderstorm activity. Upper-level winds are not favorable for development, and the low is forecast to weaken while it moves westward to west-southwestward at 5 to 10 mph into the central Gulf of Mexico during the next day or two. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent $$ Forecaster Brennan
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