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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2016-09-12 01:49:33| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 112349 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 800 PM EDT SUN SEP 11 2016 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A low pressure system located about 1000 miles east-northeast of the Leeward Islands is producing a large area of cloudiness and showers. Shower activity associated with this system has increased and become a little better organized during the past several hours, and a tropical depression is likely to form later tonight or on Monday before upper-level winds become less conducive for development. The low is expected to move northwestward or north-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph over the central Atlantic Ocean during the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent Disorganized shower activity continues in association with a disturbance near the central and southeastern Bahamas. Surface pressures remain high in the area, and there are still no signs of a closed surface circulation. Conditions do not appear conducive for significant development of this disturbance while it moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. However, locally heavy rainfall is possible over portions of the Bahamas tonight and on Monday, and these rains are likely to spread over portions of the Florida peninsula by Tuesday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent $$ Forecaster Stewart
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