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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2017-10-05 13:41:44| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 051141 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Thu Oct 5 2017 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently upgraded Tropical Storm Nate, located over northeastern Nicaragua. A non-tropical area of low pressure is in the Florida Straits centered about 50 miles southwest of Key West. This low is interacting with an upper-level low to produce a broad area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms across southern Florida, the northwestern Bahamas, central Cuba, and the adjacent Atlantic waters. Upper-level winds are forecast to be unfavorable for tropical cyclone formation while the system moves west-northwestward over the eastern Gulf of Mexico during the next day or two. However, locally heavy rainfall, some coastal flooding, and strong gusty winds, especially in squalls, are likely over portions of the Bahamas and Florida during the next couple of days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent. An area of low pressure is forecast to form on a frontal boundary in a few days about 900 miles southwest of the Azores. This low could acquire some subtropical or tropical characteristics early next week while it remains nearly stationary over the northeastern Atlantic Ocean. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. && Public Advisories on Nate are issued under WMO header WTNT31 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT1. Forecast/Advisories on Nate are issued under WMO header WTNT21 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT1. $$ Forecaster Blake

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