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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2024-09-30 07:17:22| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 300517 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Mon Sep 30 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Isaac, located several hundred miles northwest of the Azores, on Tropical Depression Joyce, located over the central Atlantic Ocean, and on Tropical Depression Twelve, located over the eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean. Western Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico: A broad area of low pressure located over the western Caribbean Sea is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions appear to be conducive for gradual development, and a tropical depression could form around the middle part of this week while the disturbance moves slowly west-northwestward. This system is then expected to move northwestward into the Gulf of Mexico during the latter portion of this week. Interests in the northwestern Caribbean Sea and along the U.S. Gulf Coast should monitor the progress of this system. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent. Eastern Tropical Atlantic: A tropical wave located a few hundred miles south-southeast of the Cabo Verde Islands is producing limited shower and thunderstorm activity. Upper-level winds are forecast to become more conducive for gradual development of this system during the next few days, and a tropical depression could form during the middle or latter part of this week while it moves slowly westward or west-northwestward over the eastern tropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent. && Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Twelve are issued under WMO header WTNT32 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT2. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Twelve are issued under WMO header WTNT22 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT2. $$ Forecaster Pasch
Category:Transportation and Logistics
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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2024-09-30 07:05:16| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 300505 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Sun Sep 29 2024 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Offshore of Southwestern Mexico: An area of low pressure is expected to gradually develop off the coast of southwestern Mexico during the next day or so. Environmental conditions are expected to be generally conducive for additional development after that, and a tropical depression could form by the middle or late portions of this week. The disturbance is forecast to meander near or just offshore the coast for most of the week, and then begin moving slowly west-northwestward, parallel to the coast of Mexico by next weekend. Regardless of development, this system is expected to contribute to additional heavy rainfall across portions of the southwestern coast of Mexico, and interests there should monitor the progress of this disturbance. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent. South of the Gulf of Tehuantepec: Another area of low pressure is forecast to form south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec during the next day or two. Gradual development of the disturbance is possible after that, if the system remains offshore the coast of southern Mexico. The disturbance is forecast to move erratically through mid-week, and then potentially move northward toward the coast later this week. Regardless of formation, heavy rain is possible along most of the coast of southern Mexico throughout this week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Hagen
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Tropical Depression Joyce Forecast Advisory Number 11
2024-09-30 04:50:34| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC MON SEP 30 2024 000 WTNT21 KNHC 300250 TCMAT1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION JOYCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112024 0300 UTC MON SEP 30 2024 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.3N 49.6W AT 30/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.3N 49.6W AT 30/0300Z AT 30/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.3N 49.4W FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 22.9N 49.8W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 23.6N 49.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 24.5N 49.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 25.7N 49.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.3N 49.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/0900Z $$ FORECASTER REINHART
Category: Transportation and Logistics