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Tropical Depression Eleven-E Forecast Advisory Number 1
2024-10-01 22:53:06| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC TUE OCT 01 2024 576 WTPZ21 KNHC 012052 TCMEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112024 2100 UTC TUE OCT 01 2024 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 94.6W AT 01/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 94.6W AT 01/2100Z AT 01/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 94.6W FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 15.5N 94.6W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 15.9N 94.6W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 16.5N 94.6W...INLAND MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 20NE 30SE 30SW 20NW. FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 17.1N 94.6W...POST-TROP/INLAND MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.1N 94.6W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT31 KNHC/MIATCPEP1...AT 02/0000Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE
Category:Transportation and Logistics
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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2024-10-01 19:50:33| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 011750 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Tue Oct 1 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Kirk, located over the central tropical Atlantic Ocean. Northwestern Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico: A broad trough of low pressure is producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms from the southwestern Caribbean Sea into the southern Gulf of Mexico. Environmental conditions could support some gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression could form towards the end of this week or this weekend as the broader disturbance moves fully into the Gulf of Mexico. Interests along the U.S. Gulf Coast should continue to monitor the progress of this system. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent. Eastern Tropical Atlantic (AL91): Showers and thunderstorms continue to show signs organization in association with an area of low pressure located a few hundred miles south-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. Environmental conditions appear conducive for further development of this system, and a tropical depression is expected to form during the next day or two while it moves slowly westward over the eastern tropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent. $$ Forecaster Papin/Mora
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2024-10-01 19:50:05| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 011749 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Tue Oct 1 2024 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: South of the Gulf of Tehuantepec (EP96): Satellite images indicate that showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure near the Gulf of Tehuantepec have become better organized since yesterday. If current trends continue, advisories could be initiated on a tropical depression this afternoon, and watches or warnings could be required for a portion of the southeastern coast of Mexico. Additionally, heavy rain is likely along portions of the coast of southern Mexico and northern Central America throughout this week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent. Offshore of Southern Mexico (EP97): An area of low pressure located a few hundred miles south-southeast of Acapulco continues to produce disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity. While environmental conditions are generally conducive for development, the proximity of this system to the low pressure area near the Gulf of Tehuantepec (EP96) could limit development chances during the first couple of days. Later this week, the system is forecast to begin moving slowly west- northwestward, parallel to the coast of Mexico, with development chances increasing by this weekend. This system is expected to contribute to heavy rainfall across portions of the southwestern coast of Mexico that were already adversely affected by substantial rainfall last week, and interests there should monitor the progress of this system. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent. $$ Forecaster Blake
Category: Transportation and Logistics