je.st
news
Tropical Depression Gil Forecast Discussion Number 5
2019-08-04 16:38:04| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 800 AM PDT Sun Aug 04 2019 000 WTPZ43 KNHC 041437 TCDEP3 Tropical Depression Gil Discussion Number 5 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP082019 800 AM PDT Sun Aug 04 2019 Shortly after 1200 UTC, Gil lost all of its central deep convection due to strong southwesterly to westerly shear and entrainment of dry air as per GOES-17 mid-level water vapor imagery. The cyclone now consists of a tight swirl of mainly low clouds, with the nearest convection located more than 150 nmi to the east of the center. The initial intensity has been lowered to 25 kt based on a Dvorak T-number of T1.5/25 kt. Gil is expected to continue to weaken due to the aforementioned adverse conditions, degenerating into a remnant low later today and dissipating by late Monday. Gil has continued to move westward or 270/09 kt. The shallow cyclone is now embedded within the low-level easterly trade wind flow, and Gil is expected to maintain a general westward motion until dissipation occurs in 36-48 hours. The official track forecast is nearly on top of of the previous advisory track and lies close to a blend of the consensus model TVCE and the ECMWF model. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 04/1500Z 14.9N 125.3W 25 KT 30 MPH 12H 05/0000Z 14.9N 126.8W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 05/1200Z 14.9N 128.9W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 06/0000Z 14.9N 131.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 06/1200Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Stewart
Tags: number
discussion
tropical
depression
Category:Transportation and Logistics
Latest from this category |
All news |
||||||||||||||||||
|
|||||||||||||||||||