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Tropical Depression OCTAVE Public Advisory Number 11
2013-10-15 16:36:20| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 800 AM PDT TUE OCT 15 2013 000 WTPZ35 KNHC 151436 TCPEP5 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION OCTAVE ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152013 800 AM PDT TUE OCT 15 2013 ...OCTAVE EXPECTED TO DEGENERATE INTO A REMNANT LOW OVER THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA LATER TODAY... ...HEAVY RAINS AFFECTING THE MEXICAN STATE OF SONORA... SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...25.4N 110.8W ABOUT 115 MI...185 KM WSW OF LOS MOCHIS MEXICO ABOUT 180 MI...290 KM S OF GUAYMAS MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 60 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION OCTAVE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 110.8 WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST NEAR 5 MPH...7 KM/H. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THIS MORNING...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TO THE NORTHEAST OR THE NORTH-NORTHEAST BY TONIGHT. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF OCTAVE WILL LIKELY MOVE SLOWLY OVER THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA UNTIL IT DISSIPATES ON WEDNESDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. STEADY WEAKENING IS EXPECTED...AND THE DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO DEGENERATE INTO A REMNANT LOW LATER TODAY. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL...TROPICAL DEPRESSION OCTAVE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES POSSIBLE OVER THE MAINLAND MEXICO STATE OF SONORA. ADDITIONAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA...WITH MAXIMUM STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 PM PDT. $$ FORECASTER STEWART
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