je.st
news
Tropical Depression ONE-E Forecast Discussion Number 6
2016-06-08 04:35:11| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1000 PM CDT TUE JUN 07 2016 000 WTPZ41 KNHC 080235 TCDEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012016 1000 PM CDT TUE JUN 07 2016 The low-level center of the depression is difficult to locate even on microwave imagery. Any convection left is weakening and is confined within a band well removed from the alleged center. The current position is highly uncertain and is based primarily on continuity and some hint of a circulation in the low clouds. The initial intensity has been lowered to 25 kt, and given the current shear, and the fact that the circulation is already interacting with the high terrain of Mexico, additional weakening is anticipated. The depression is forecast to become a remnant low in about 12 hours. The depression appears to be moving toward the northeast or 045 degrees at 3 kt. The steering flow should force the system on a slow northeastward track, bringing the depression gradually inland. Another alternative is for the mid-level center to move northeastward while a weak low-level swirl remains meandering near the coast. Despite the observed weakening of the depression, very heavy rain continues. This rainfall is enhanced by the moist southwest flow over the high terrain of southern Mexico and western Guatemala where flash floods and mud slides are anticipated. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 08/0300Z 15.9N 94.6W 25 KT 30 MPH 12H 08/1200Z 16.3N 94.3W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND 24H 09/0000Z 16.5N 94.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND 36H 09/1200Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Avila
Tags: number
discussion
tropical
depression
Category:Transportation and Logistics
Latest from this category |
All news |
||||||||||||||||||
|
|||||||||||||||||||