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Tropical Depression One-E Forecast Discussion Number 5
2018-05-11 22:58:53| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 200 PM PDT Fri May 11 2018 000 WTPZ41 KNHC 112058 TCDEP1 Tropical Depression One-E Discussion Number 5 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP012018 200 PM PDT Fri May 11 2018 The prevailing strong westerly wind shear removed all the convection from the depression, which now consists of a tight swirl of low clouds. Since the swirl is becoming less defined on satellite, the initial intensity has been lowered to 25 kt, with some possible higher gusts. Isolated and intermittent bursts of convection could still occur, but given the hostile environment, the NHC forecast calls for the depression to become a remnant low tonight. None the intensity guidance suggest reintensification of this system. The depression is moving toward the west-northwest at about 3 kt embedded within a light steering flow. This slow general motion is expected to continue until dissipation. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 11/2100Z 12.8N 129.5W 25 KT 30 MPH 12H 12/0600Z 13.2N 130.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 12/1800Z 14.0N 130.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 13/0600Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Avila
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