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Tropical Storm CINDY Forecast Discussion Number 11
2017-06-22 10:52:50| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 400 AM CDT Thu Jun 22 2017 000 WTNT43 KNHC 220852 TCDAT3 Tropical Storm Cindy Discussion Number 11 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL032017 400 AM CDT Thu Jun 22 2017 Radar imagery from Slidell and Lake Charles, Louisiana along with surface synoptic data, particularly those from Calcasieu Pass Louisiana, indicate that the center of Cindy crossed the coast between Cameron Louisiana and Port Arthur Texas an hour or two ago. The observations from Calcasieu indicate that the intensity is now around 35 kt. Now that the center is inland, steady weakening will occur and the system should become a depression later today, and be reduced to a post-tropical remnant low tonight. In 2-3 days, or sooner, the remnant low of Cindy should become absorbed into a frontal zone over the eastern United States. The initial motion is a little faster, and is about 360/10 kt. Cindy should continue to move through a break in the subtropical ridge today, and gradually turn toward the northeast and east-northeast as it encounters mid-level westerly flow over the next couple of days. The official track forecast lies between the GFS and ECMWF predictions. Although Cindy is weakening, it will continue to produce heavy rainfall over portions of the northern Gulf Coast and the southeastern and eastern United States, along with the potential for life-threatening flash flooding in some locations. For more information on the flooding hazard, see products from your local National Weather Service office and the NOAA Weather Prediction Center. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 22/0900Z 29.9N 93.6W 35 KT 40 MPH...INLAND 12H 22/1800Z 31.4N 93.5W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND 24H 23/0600Z 33.4N 92.4W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 23/1800Z 35.4N 89.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 24/0600Z 37.0N 83.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 25/0600Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Pasch
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