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Tropical Storm JAVIER Public Advisory Number 3A
2016-08-08 01:57:08| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 600 PM MDT SUN AUG 07 2016 000 WTPZ31 KNHC 072357 TCPEP1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM JAVIER INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 3A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112016 600 PM MDT SUN AUG 07 2016 ...JAVIER STRENGTHENS A LITTLE... SUMMARY OF 600 PM MDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...20.2N 107.3W ABOUT 250 MI...405 KM SW OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The Government of Mexico has discontinued the Tropical Storm Warning from Manzanillo to Cabo Corrientes. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Southern portion of the Baja California peninsula from La Paz southward and westward to Santa Fe, including Cabo San Lucas A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... *Southern portion of the Baja California peninsula north of Santa Fe to Cabo San Lazaro A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within the next 36 hours for the southern portion of the Baja California peninsula. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 600 PM MDT (0000 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Javier was located near latitude 20.2 North, longitude 107.3 West. Javier is moving toward the west-northwest near 14 mph (22 km/h). A turn toward the northwest is expected tonight, and this motion with a decrease in forward speed is expected to continue through Monday. On the forecast track, the center of the tropical cyclone should pass offshore of the southwest coast of Mexico today, and approach the southern portion of the Baja California peninsula on Monday. Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is forecast during the next day or so. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 999 mb (29.50 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Javier is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 4 to 8 inches over western or coastal parts of the Mexican states of Colima, Jalisco, Michoacan, Nayarit and the southern part of Baja California Sur with possible isolated maximum amounts of 12 inches through Tuesday morning. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are occurring over portions of the southwest coast of Mexico in the warning area, and should continue for the next few hours. Tropical storm conditions are expected over the southern portion of the Baja California peninsula within the warning area by Monday night Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area over the southern portion of the Baja California peninsula on Tuesday. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 900 PM MDT. $$ Forecaster Stewart/Cangialosi
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