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Tropical Storm KARL Forecast Advisory Number 7
2016-09-16 04:56:06| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC FRI SEP 16 2016 000 WTNT22 KNHC 160255 TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM KARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122016 0300 UTC FRI SEP 16 2016 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 32.5W AT 16/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT.......140NE 80SE 0SW 80NW. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 32.5W AT 16/0300Z AT 16/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 31.9W FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 18.0N 34.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...140NE 80SE 0SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 18.0N 37.1W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...140NE 80SE 0SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 17.8N 39.7W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...140NE 80SE 0SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 17.5N 42.4W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...140NE 80SE 0SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 17.1N 47.8W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT...140NE 80SE 0SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z 17.8N 52.7W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z 19.0N 57.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.9N 32.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0900Z $$ FORECASTER STEWART
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