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Tropical Storm NICOLE Forecast Advisory Number 29
2016-10-11 10:33:56| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC TUE OCT 11 2016 000 WTNT25 KNHC 110833 TCMAT5 TROPICAL STORM NICOLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 29 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152016 0900 UTC TUE OCT 11 2016 THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR BERMUDA. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BERMUDA A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BERMUDA A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. A HURRICANE WARNING WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED FOR BERMUDA LATER TODAY. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.1N 65.9W AT 11/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 992 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT.......100NE 80SE 60SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS..360NE 180SE 90SW 360NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.1N 65.9W AT 11/0900Z AT 11/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.9N 65.8W FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 27.5N 66.4W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...120NE 100SE 80SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 28.5N 67.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 20SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT...140NE 140SE 80SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 29.5N 67.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 25SE 0SW 20NW. 50 KT... 80NE 80SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...160NE 160SE 80SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 31.5N 66.0W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 80SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...180NE 180SE 90SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 36.0N 62.0W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT...100NE 90SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT...210NE 210SE 120SW 130NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 15/0600Z 40.0N 56.5W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 16/0600Z 42.0N 53.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.1N 65.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/1500Z $$ FORECASTER AVILA
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