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Tropical Storm SIMON Public Advisory Number 6
2014-10-03 04:35:54| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 800 PM PDT THU OCT 02 2014 000 WTPZ34 KNHC 030235 TCPEP4 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM SIMON ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP192014 800 PM PDT THU OCT 02 2014 ...SIMON COULD BECOME A HURRICANE ON FRIDAY... SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...18.1N 108.2W ABOUT 260 MI...420 KM SW OF PUERTO VALLARTA MEXICO ABOUT 350 MI...560 KM SSE OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM SIMON WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 108.2 WEST. SIMON IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 5 MPH...7 KM/H. THIS GENERAL MOTION WITH A SLIGHT INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED ON FRIDAY. A TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR NORTHWEST IS ANTICIPATED ON SATURDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF SIMON SHOULD PASS NEAR SOCORRO ISLAND LATE FRIDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SIMON IS FORECAST TO BECOME A HURRICANE ON FRIDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998 MB...29.47 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL...SIMON IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS AROUND 8 INCHES THROUGH FRIDAY ACROSS WESTERN GUERRERO AND MICHOACAN...COLIMA...WESTERN JALISCO AND NAYARIT IN WESTERN MEXICO. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE FLASH FLOODING AND MUD SLIDES. SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY SIMON ARE AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 AM PDT. $$ FORECASTER AVILA
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