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Tropical Storm SIMON Public Advisory Number 7
2014-10-03 10:58:28| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 200 AM PDT FRI OCT 03 2014 000 WTPZ34 KNHC 030858 TCPEP4 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM SIMON ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP192014 200 AM PDT FRI OCT 03 2014 ...SIMON EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE BY SATURDAY MORNING... SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...18.3N 108.9W ABOUT 140 MI...230 KM ESE OF SOCORRO ISLAND ABOUT 325 MI...520 KM SSE OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM SIMON WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 108.9 WEST. SIMON IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/H...THIS GENERAL MOTION WITH A SLIGHT INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TODAY. A TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR NORTHWEST IS ANTICIPATED ON SATURDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF SIMON SHOULD PASS OVER OR NEAR SOCORRO ISLAND THIS AFTERNOON. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS... AND SIMON IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE BY SATURDAY MORNING. TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998 MB...29.47 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL...SIMON IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS AROUND 8 INCHES THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT ACROSS COLIMA...WESTERN JALISCO...NAYARIT...SOUTHERN SINALOA...AND BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR IN WESTERN MEXICO OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE FLASH FLOODING AND MUDSLIDES. SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY SIMON ARE AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 AM PDT. $$ FORECASTER STEWART
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