je.st
news
Tag: beta
Tropical Storm Beta Wind Speed Probabilities Number 7
2020-09-19 10:53:27| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC SAT SEP 19 2020 000 FONT12 KNHC 190853 PWSAT2 TROPICAL STORM BETA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 7 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL222020 0900 UTC SAT SEP 19 2020 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BETA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 92.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT GFMX 290N 870W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) MOBILE AL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) GULFPORT MS 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 4( 6) STENNIS MS 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) 3( 7) BURAS LA 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) 4( 9) GFMX 280N 890W 34 6 3( 9) 2(11) 2(13) 1(14) 1(15) 4(19) JACKSON MS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) NEW ORLEANS LA 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) 2( 7) 5(12) GFMX 280N 910W 34 55 6(61) 3(64) 2(66) 1(67) 1(68) 2(70) GFMX 280N 910W 50 1 2( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) BATON ROUGE LA 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) 2( 7) 2( 9) 6(15) MORGAN CITY LA 34 1 2( 3) 3( 6) 2( 8) 2(10) 3(13) 4(17) ALEXANDRIA LA 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) 2( 6) 2( 8) 5(13) LAFAYETTE LA 34 1 2( 3) 3( 6) 2( 8) 3(11) 4(15) 6(21) NEW IBERIA LA 34 1 2( 3) 4( 7) 2( 9) 3(12) 3(15) 6(21) NEW IBERIA LA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) GFMX 280N 930W 34 65 20(85) 5(90) 1(91) 1(92) 1(93) X(93) GFMX 280N 930W 50 11 27(38) 8(46) 2(48) X(48) 2(50) 1(51) GFMX 280N 930W 64 X 3( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7) 1( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) SHREVEPORT LA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) 3( 7) FORT POLK LA 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) 3( 7) 3(10) 4(14) 4(18) LAKE CHARLES 34 X 3( 3) 3( 6) 5(11) 5(16) 6(22) 5(27) LAKE CHARLES 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) CAMERON LA 34 5 14(19) 13(32) 7(39) 5(44) 5(49) 5(54) CAMERON LA 50 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) 3( 8) 3(11) CAMERON LA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) JASPER TX 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) 4( 8) 5(13) 4(17) 4(21) KOUNTZE TX 34 X 2( 2) 4( 6) 5(11) 7(18) 6(24) 4(28) KOUNTZE TX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) PORT ARTHUR TX 34 X 3( 3) 6( 9) 5(14) 7(21) 6(27) 4(31) PORT ARTHUR TX 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 2( 5) GALVESTON TX 34 3 18(21) 21(42) 15(57) 6(63) 3(66) 2(68) GALVESTON TX 50 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 7(13) 6(19) 3(22) 3(25) GALVESTON TX 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) HOUSTON TX 34 X 3( 3) 6( 9) 10(19) 13(32) 5(37) 3(40) HOUSTON TX 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 2( 7) 1( 8) HOUSTON TX 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) AUSTIN TX 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 9(14) 4(18) 2(20) SAN ANTONIO TX 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 8(14) 6(20) 1(21) FREEPORT TX 34 X 4( 4) 17(21) 20(41) 11(52) 3(55) 2(57) FREEPORT TX 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) 6(15) 3(18) 1(19) FREEPORT TX 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) GFMX 280N 950W 34 7 35(42) 30(72) 11(83) 4(87) 1(88) X(88) GFMX 280N 950W 50 X 9( 9) 26(35) 17(52) 4(56) 1(57) 1(58) GFMX 280N 950W 64 X 1( 1) 8( 9) 10(19) 5(24) X(24) 1(25) HIGH ISLAND TX 34 X 4( 4) 10(14) 9(23) 9(32) 6(38) 3(41) HIGH ISLAND TX 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) 2( 7) 2( 9) HIGH ISLAND TX 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) MATAGORDA TX 34 2 14(16) 24(40) 21(61) 8(69) 3(72) 1(73) MATAGORDA TX 50 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 17(23) 12(35) 3(38) 2(40) MATAGORDA TX 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 7(12) 1(13) X(13) PORT O CONNOR 34 2 11(13) 22(35) 24(59) 11(70) 3(73) 1(74) PORT O CONNOR 50 X X( X) 6( 6) 17(23) 14(37) 3(40) 2(42) PORT O CONNOR 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 8(14) 1(15) 1(16) ROCKPORT TX 34 X 2( 2) 8(10) 18(28) 19(47) 7(54) 2(56) ROCKPORT TX 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 11(17) 3(20) X(20) ROCKPORT TX 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) 1( 6) CORPUS CHRISTI 34 X 2( 2) 5( 7) 13(20) 19(39) 8(47) 2(49) CORPUS CHRISTI 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 8(11) 4(15) 1(16) CORPUS CHRISTI 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) GFMX 270N 960W 34 2 17(19) 30(49) 16(65) 10(75) 5(80) 1(81) GFMX 270N 960W 50 X 2( 2) 13(15) 16(31) 9(40) 4(44) 1(45) GFMX 270N 960W 64 X X( X) 3( 3) 8(11) 6(17) 2(19) X(19) MCALLEN TX 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) 9(15) 8(23) X(23) MCALLEN TX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) HARLINGEN TX 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 4( 8) 11(19) 9(28) X(28) HARLINGEN TX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) X( 6) HARLINGEN TX 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) BROWNSVILLE TX 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 5( 9) 9(18) 9(27) X(27) BROWNSVILLE TX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) BROWNSVILLE TX 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) GFMX 250N 960W 34 1 5( 6) 9(15) 8(23) 10(33) 6(39) 1(40) GFMX 250N 960W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 3( 5) 3( 8) X( 8) GFMX 250N 960W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) LA PESCA MX 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) PENSACOLA NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) KEESLER AB 34 1 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) 5(10) $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
Tropical Storm Beta Forecast Advisory Number 7
2020-09-19 10:52:59| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC SAT SEP 19 2020 000 WTNT22 KNHC 190852 TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM BETA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL222020 0900 UTC SAT SEP 19 2020 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... A STORM SURGE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM HIGH ISLAND...TX TO CAMERON...LA INCLUDING SABINE LAKE AND CALCASIEU LAKE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * PORT MANSFIELD...TX TO CAMERON...LA INCLUDING BAFFIN BAY...CORPUS CHRISTI BAY...COPANO BAY...ARANSAS BAY...SAN ANTONIO BAY...MATAGORDA BAY...GALVESTON BAY...SABINE LAKE AND CALCASIEU LAKE A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * PORT ARANSAS TEXAS TO HIGH ISLAND TEXAS A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * SOUTH OF PORT ARANSAS TEXAS TO THE MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE * EAST OF HIGH ISLAND TEXAS TO MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE- THREATENING INUNDATION...FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE...IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK...PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC...AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.0N 92.5W AT 19/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 996 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 80NE 0SE 0SW 50NW. 34 KT.......150NE 40SE 40SW 90NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 0SE 30SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.0N 92.5W AT 19/0900Z AT 19/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.8N 92.3W FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 26.6N 92.6W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 0SE 0SW 60NW. 34 KT...150NE 60SE 40SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 26.9N 93.4W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 30SE 0SW 60NW. 34 KT...150NE 60SE 40SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 27.1N 94.3W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 35NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. 50 KT... 70NE 40SE 40SW 60NW. 34 KT...150NE 80SE 60SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 27.4N 95.2W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 35NE 25SE 25SW 30NW. 50 KT... 70NE 50SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...150NE 80SE 80SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 27.7N 95.9W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...140NE 80SE 80SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 28.1N 96.3W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...120NE 100SE 80SW 80NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 23/0600Z 28.7N 95.4W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 24/0600Z 29.7N 93.3W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.0N 92.5W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 19/1200Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/1500Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
Tags: number
beta
storm
advisory
Tropical Storm Beta Graphics
2020-09-19 07:33:40| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sat, 19 Sep 2020 05:33:40 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sat, 19 Sep 2020 03:33:46 GMT
Tags: graphics
beta
storm
tropical
Summary for Tropical Storm Beta (AT2/AL222020)
2020-09-19 07:33:26| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...BETA FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN AND MOVE VERY SLOWLY OVER THE NORTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO... As of 1:00 AM CDT Sat Sep 19 the center of Beta was located near 25.8, -92.2 with movement NNE at 12 mph. The minimum central pressure was 996 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 60 mph.
Tags: summary
beta
storm
tropical
Tropical Storm Beta Public Advisory Number 6A
2020-09-19 07:33:26| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 100 AM CDT Sat Sep 19 2020 000 WTNT32 KNHC 190533 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Beta Intermediate Advisory Number 6A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL222020 100 AM CDT Sat Sep 19 2020 ...BETA FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN AND MOVE VERY SLOWLY OVER THE NORTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 100 AM CDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...25.8N 92.2W ABOUT 300 MI...480 KM SW OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER ABOUT 310 MI...500 KM E OF MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 30 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...996 MB...29.42 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for... * Port Mansfield, TX to High Island, TX including Baffin Bay, Corpus Christi Bay, Copano Bay, Aransas Bay, San Antonio Bay, Matagorda Bay, and Galveston Bay A Hurricane Watch is in effect for... * Port Aransas Texas to High Island Texas A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * South of Port Aransas Texas to the Mouth of the Rio Grande * East of High Island Texas to Morgan City Louisiana A Storm Surge Watch means there is a possibility of life- threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline, in the indicated locations during the next 48 hours. For a depiction of areas at risk, please see the National Weather Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov. A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area. A watch is typically issued 48 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or dangerous. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours. For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 100 AM CDT (0600 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Beta was located near latitude 25.8 North, longitude 92.2 West. Beta is moving toward the north-northeast near 12 mph (19 km/h). A slow westward motion is expected to begin late today. A slow northwestward motion is forecast to begin late Sunday and continue through late Monday. On the forecast track, the center of Beta will slowly approach the Texas coast early next week. Maximum sustained are near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual strengthening is forecast, and Beta is expected to become a hurricane on Sunday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 175 miles (280 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 996 mb (29.42 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide... Port Mansfield, TX to High Island, TX including Baffin Bay, Corpus Christi Bay, Copano Bay, Aransas Bay, San Antonio Bay, Matagorda Bay, and Galveston Bay...2-4 ft Mouth of the Rio Grande to Port Mansfield, TX...1-3 ft High Island, TX to Morgan City, LA including Sabine Lake, Calcasieu Lake, and Vermilion Bay...1-3 ft The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast in areas of onshore winds, where the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves. Surge-related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances. For information specific to your area, please see products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. WIND: Hurricane conditions are possible within the hurricane watch area by late Monday or Monday night, with tropical storm conditions possible by late Sunday. Tropical storm conditions are possible within the tropical storm watch area along the upper Texas and southwestern Louisiana coast as early as tonight. Tropical storm conditions are possible within the tropical storm watch area along the south Texas coast late Sunday. RAINFALL: There is an increasing risk of heavy rainfall and flooding along the northwest Gulf Coast Sunday through at least the middle of next week as Beta is forecast to move slowly toward and along or offshore of the coast through that time. For additional information, see products from your local National Weather Service office. SURF: Swells are expected to increase and reach the coast of Texas and the Gulf Coast of Mexico later today, generated by a combination of Beta and a cold front entering the northern Gulf of Mexico. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 400 AM CDT. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
Tags: number
public
beta
storm
Sites : [31] [32] [33] [34] [35] [36] [37] [38] [39] [40] [41] [42] [43] [44] [45] [46] [47] [48] [49] [50] next »