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Tropical Depression Nine-E Forecast Advisory Number 4
2021-07-31 16:46:42| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC SAT JUL 31 2021 890 WTPZ24 KNHC 311446 TCMEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP092021 1500 UTC SAT JUL 31 2021 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.1N 127.6W AT 31/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.1N 127.6W AT 31/1500Z AT 31/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.2N 127.4W FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 12.1N 128.2W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 12.1N 129.2W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 12.3N 130.7W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 12.5N 132.3W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 12.8N 133.7W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 13.1N 135.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 30SE 0SW 50NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 13.8N 137.2W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 15.5N 139.9W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.1N 127.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/2100Z $$ FORECASTER STEWART
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Tropical Depression Nine-E Public Advisory Number 3
2021-07-31 10:35:39| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 200 AM PDT Sat Jul 31 2021 000 WTPZ34 KNHC 310835 TCPEP4 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Nine-E Advisory Number 3 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP092021 200 AM PDT Sat Jul 31 2021 ...DEPRESSION REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED... SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...12.3N 127.0W ABOUT 1340 MI...2155 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 265 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 200 AM PDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Nine-E was located near latitude 12.3 North, longitude 127.0 West. The depression is moving toward the west near 6 mph (9 km/h). A general westward motion with some increase in forward speed is forecast during the next few days. Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts. Some slight strengthening is possible during the next 48 hours, and the depression is forecast to become a tropical storm in a couple of days. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 800 AM PDT. $$ Forecaster Brown
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Tropical Storm Hilda Public Advisory Number 3
2021-07-31 10:35:06| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 200 AM PDT Sat Jul 31 2021 000 WTPZ33 KNHC 310835 TCPEP3 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Hilda Advisory Number 3 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP082021 200 AM PDT Sat Jul 31 2021 ...HILDA STRENGTHENING... ...FORECAST TO BECOME A HURRICANE BY TONIGHT OR EARLY SUNDAY... SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...13.3N 115.7W ABOUT 765 MI...1230 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 200 AM PDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Hilda was located near latitude 13.3 North, longitude 115.7 West. Hilda is moving toward the west-northwest near 14 mph (22 km/h), and this general heading with a gradual decrease in forward speed is expected during the next few days. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is forecast through Sunday, with Hilda expected to become a hurricane by tonight or early Sunday. Some weakening is anticipated to begin on Monday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1002 mb (29.59 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 800 AM PDT. $$ Forecaster Berg
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Tropical Depression Nine-E Forecast Advisory Number 3
2021-07-31 10:35:06| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0900 UTC SAT JUL 31 2021 000 WTPZ24 KNHC 310835 TCMEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP092021 0900 UTC SAT JUL 31 2021 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 127.0W AT 31/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 50 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 127.0W AT 31/0900Z AT 31/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 126.8W FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 12.2N 127.5W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 12.1N 128.3W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 12.2N 129.6W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 12.5N 131.3W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 12.8N 132.8W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 13.1N 134.2W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 40NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 13.7N 136.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 14.5N 138.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.3N 127.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BROWN
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Tropical Storm Hilda Forecast Advisory Number 3
2021-07-31 10:34:38| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0900 UTC SAT JUL 31 2021 000 WTPZ23 KNHC 310834 TCMEP3 TROPICAL STORM HILDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP082021 0900 UTC SAT JUL 31 2021 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 115.7W AT 31/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT.......100NE 100SE 0SW 80NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 115.7W AT 31/0900Z AT 31/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.2N 115.2W FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 13.6N 117.3W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT... 80NE 90SE 30SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 14.1N 119.1W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 40SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 14.6N 120.8W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 15SE 0SW 15NW. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 70NE 70SE 40SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 15.1N 122.3W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 15SE 10SW 15NW. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 15.7N 123.7W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 16.3N 124.8W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 17.8N 127.6W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 18.9N 131.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.3N 115.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BERG
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