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Tropical Depression Rose Forecast Advisory Number 14
2021-09-22 16:38:09| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC WED SEP 22 2021 000 WTNT22 KNHC 221437 TCMAT2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ROSE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172021 1500 UTC WED SEP 22 2021 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.6N 39.2W AT 22/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.6N 39.2W AT 22/1500Z AT 22/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.4N 38.8W FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 24.6N 40.1W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 26.1N 41.1W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 27.6N 41.1W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 28.8N 39.9W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 29.4N 37.8W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 29.9N 34.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 31.5N 30.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.6N 39.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN
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rose
advisory
tropical
Tropical Depression Peter Public Advisory Number 15
2021-09-22 10:34:57| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 500 AM AST Wed Sep 22 2021 000 WTNT31 KNHC 220834 TCPAT1 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Peter Advisory Number 15 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL162021 500 AM AST Wed Sep 22 2021 ...POORLY ORGANIZED PETER EXPECTED TO TURN NORTHWARD TONIGHT... SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...21.5N 66.1W ABOUT 215 MI...345 KM N OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Peter was located near latitude 21.5 North, longitude 66.1 West. The depression is moving toward the northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h). A turn to the north is expected by tonight, followed by a north-northeastward or northeastward motion through the end of the week. On the forecast track, the center of Peter will continue moving away from the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Some gradual weakening is expected during the next couple of days, and Peter is forecast to degenerate into a remnant low on Thursday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Rainfall around the southern periphery of Peter could produce additional rainfall totals of 1 to 2 inches, with storm total accumulations up to 9 inches, across portions of the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, and northern portions of Hispaniola through Thursday morning. This rainfall may lead to areas of urban and small stream flooding. SURF: Swells generated by Peter are affecting the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, and Hispaniola, and will continue spreading westward to the Bahamas later today. These swells could cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
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peter
advisory
Tropical Depression Peter Forecast Advisory Number 15
2021-09-22 10:34:28| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC WED SEP 22 2021 000 WTNT21 KNHC 220834 TCMAT1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION PETER FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162021 0900 UTC WED SEP 22 2021 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.5N 66.1W AT 22/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.5N 66.1W AT 22/0900Z AT 22/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.2N 65.9W FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 22.2N 66.7W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 23.2N 66.9W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 24.1N 66.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 25.1N 65.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 26.5N 64.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.5N 66.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/1500Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
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peter
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tropical
Tropical Depression Rose Forecast Advisory Number 13
2021-09-22 10:32:25| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC WED SEP 22 2021 000 WTNT22 KNHC 220832 TCMAT2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ROSE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172021 0900 UTC WED SEP 22 2021 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.4N 38.4W AT 22/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.4N 38.4W AT 22/0900Z AT 22/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.1N 38.1W FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 24.2N 39.4W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 25.5N 40.6W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 27.0N 41.2W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 28.4N 40.6W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 29.5N 38.8W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 30.1N 36.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z 31.2N 31.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 27/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.4N 38.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/1500Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
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rose
advisory
tropical
Tropical Depression Peter Public Advisory Number 14
2021-09-22 04:43:46| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 PM AST Tue Sep 21 2021 721 WTNT31 KNHC 220243 TCPAT1 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Peter Advisory Number 14 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL162021 1100 PM AST Tue Sep 21 2021 ...DEPRESSION CONTINUES TO STRUGGLE WITH STRONG SHEAR... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...20.8N 65.3W ABOUT 175 MI...280 KM NNE OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Peter was located near latitude 20.8 North, longitude 65.3 West. The depression is moving toward the northwest near 7 mph (11 km/h). A turn to the north is expected by late tomorrow, followed by a north-northeastward or northeastward motion through the end of the week. On the forecast track, the center of Peter will continue moving away from the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico through early Wednesday. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Some gradual weakening is expected during the next couple of days, and Peter is forecast to degenerate into a remnant low by Thursday. Nearby NOAA buoy observations indicate the estimated minimum central pressure is 1009 mb (29.80 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Rainfall around the southern periphery of Peter could produce additional rainfall totals of 1 to 4 inches, with storm total accumulations up to 6 inches, across portions of the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, and northern portions of Hispaniola through Thursday morning. This rainfall may lead to areas of urban and small stream flooding. SURF: Swells generated by Peter are affecting the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, and Hispaniola, and will continue spreading westward to the Bahamas on Wednesday. These swells could cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Reinhart
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