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Tropical Depression Fifteen Forecast Advisory Number 4
2020-09-01 16:40:27| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC TUE SEP 01 2020 000 WTNT25 KNHC 011440 TCMAT5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152020 1500 UTC TUE SEP 01 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.7N 73.1W AT 01/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 60 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. 12 FT SEAS.. 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.7N 73.1W AT 01/1500Z AT 01/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.4N 73.8W FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 35.6N 71.1W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 50SE 50SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 36.5N 68.3W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 50SE 50SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 37.2N 65.1W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 37.3N 62.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 37.0N 59.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 37.0N 57.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 39.5N 52.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 34.7N 73.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE
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Tropical Depression Fifteen Public Advisory Number 3
2020-09-01 10:35:31| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 500 AM EDT Tue Sep 01 2020 023 WTNT35 KNHC 010835 TCPAT5 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Fifteen Advisory Number 3 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL152020 500 AM EDT Tue Sep 01 2020 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION PASSING TO THE SOUTHEAST OF CAPE HATTERAS... ...NO SIGNIFICANT STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED AS IT HEADS OUT TO SEA... SUMMARY OF 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...34.1N 74.4W ABOUT 100 MI...160 KM SE OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 50 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 AM EDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Fifteen was located near latitude 34.1 North, longitude 74.4 West. The depression is moving toward the northeast near 13 mph (20 km/h). A turn toward the east-northeast is expected later today, followed by a turn toward the east by Thursday. On the forecast track, the center of the depression will move away from the North Carolina coast today. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Although the depression still has a small chance to become a tropical storm later today, no significant changes in strength are expected during the next couple of days. The system could degenerate into a remnant low by Wednesday night. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF: Swells generated by the depression will continue to affect portions of the Outer Banks of North Carolina through this evening, causing life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 AM EDT. $$ Forecaster Berg
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Tropical Depression Fifteen Forecast Advisory Number 3
2020-09-01 10:35:07| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC TUE SEP 01 2020 000 WTNT25 KNHC 010834 TCMAT5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152020 0900 UTC TUE SEP 01 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.1N 74.4W AT 01/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 50 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. 12 FT SEAS.. 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.1N 74.4W AT 01/0900Z AT 01/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.8N 75.0W FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 35.0N 72.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 36.0N 69.7W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 36.9N 67.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 37.5N 63.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 37.7N 61.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 37.8N 58.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 39.2N 53.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 34.1N 74.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BERG
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Tropical Depression Fifteen Public Advisory Number 2
2020-09-01 04:39:02| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 PM EDT Mon Aug 31 2020 000 WTNT35 KNHC 010238 TCPAT5 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Fifteen Advisory Number 2 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL152020 1100 PM EDT Mon Aug 31 2020 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION NOT EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN MUCH WHILE IT MOVES FARTHER OFFSHORE OF THE CAROLINAS ON TUESDAY... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...33.2N 75.7W ABOUT 140 MI...225 KM S OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 45 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 PM EDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Fifteen was located near latitude 33.2 North, longitude 75.7 West. The depression is moving toward the northeast near 14 mph (22 km/h). A turn to the east-northeast is expected to occur on Tuesday, and this general motion should continue for a few days. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. The depression is not forecast to strengthen much, but it could become a tropical storm on Tuesday. Little, if any, additional strengthening is forecast thereafter, and a weakening trend is expected to begin on Wednesday night. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF: Swells generated by the depression are affecting portions of the coast of North Carolina, especially along the Outer Banks. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions through tomorrow evening. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM EDT. $$ Forecaster Latto
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Tropical Depression Fifteen Forecast Advisory Number 2
2020-09-01 04:39:02| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC TUE SEP 01 2020 000 WTNT25 KNHC 010238 TCMAT5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152020 0300 UTC TUE SEP 01 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.2N 75.7W AT 01/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 45 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.2N 75.7W AT 01/0300Z AT 01/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.8N 76.2W FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 34.2N 74.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 35.1N 71.2W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 50SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 36.0N 68.6W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 36.9N 65.9W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 37.7N 63.3W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 38.1N 60.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 38.7N 55.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 41.6N 50.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.2N 75.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0900Z $$ FORECASTER LATTO
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