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Tropical Depression Fifteen Public Advisory Number 1
2020-08-31 22:43:57| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 500 PM EDT Mon Aug 31 2020 223 WTNT35 KNHC 312043 TCPAT5 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Fifteen Advisory Number 1 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL152020 500 PM EDT Mon Aug 31 2020 ...NEW TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS OFFSHORE OF NORTH CAROLINA BUT EXPECTED TO STAY AWAY FROM LAND... SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...32.6N 76.5W ABOUT 190 MI...305 KM SSW OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 35 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 PM EDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Fifteen was located by an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft near latitude 32.6 North, longitude 76.5 West. The depression is moving toward the northeast near 12 mph (19 km/h) and a motion toward the northeast or east-northeast is expected for the next few days. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. The depression is forecast to become a tropical storm on Tuesday, but little, if any, additional strengthening is forecast Tuesday night or Wednesday. The estimated minimum central pressure based on the Air Force Reserve reconnaissance data is 1009 mb (29.80 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF: Swells generated by the depression are affecting portions of the coast of North Carolina, especially along the Outer Banks. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions through tomorrow. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 PM EDT. $$ Forecaster Blake
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Tropical Depression Fifteen Forecast Advisory Number 1
2020-08-31 22:43:44| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC MON AUG 31 2020 000 WTNT25 KNHC 312043 TCMAT5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152020 2100 UTC MON AUG 31 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.6N 76.5W AT 31/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 35 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.6N 76.5W AT 31/2100Z AT 31/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.2N 76.9W FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 33.8N 75.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 34.9N 72.4W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 35.8N 69.7W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 36.7N 67.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 60SE 20SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 37.6N 63.7W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 60SE 20SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 38.2N 60.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 60SE 20SW 0NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z 39.0N 55.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 41.5N 49.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.6N 76.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE
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Post-Tropical Cyclone Iselle Forecast Advisory Number 18
2020-08-30 22:33:45| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC SUN AUG 30 2020 000 WTPZ24 KNHC 302033 TCMEP4 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ISELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 18 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142020 2100 UTC SUN AUG 30 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.7N 113.3W AT 30/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.7N 113.3W AT 30/2100Z AT 30/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.4N 113.3W FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 24.7N 113.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 25.8N 113.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.7N 113.3W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THE REMNANT LOW PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFEPI AND WMO HEADER FZPN02 KWBC. $$ FORECASTER BLAKE
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Tropical Depression Iselle Public Advisory Number 17
2020-08-30 16:35:10| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 900 AM MDT Sun Aug 30 2020 000 WTPZ34 KNHC 301435 TCPEP4 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Iselle Advisory Number 17 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP142020 900 AM MDT Sun Aug 30 2020 ...ISELLE FORECAST TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW LATER TODAY... SUMMARY OF 900 AM MDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...23.0N 113.3W ABOUT 215 MI...350 KM W OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 900 AM MDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Iselle was located near latitude 23.0 North, longitude 113.3 West. The depression is moving toward the north near 8 mph (13 km/h), and a gradual turn toward the north-northwest is expected by tomorrow before the cyclone dissipates. Maximum sustained winds remain near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Iselle is forecast to degenerate into a remnant low later today and decay into a trough of low pressure by Tuesday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF: Swells generated by Iselle and a large area of southwesterly winds to its south are affecting portions of the southwestern and west-central coast of Mexico, as well as the west coast of Baja California Sur. These swells are expected to continue for the next couple of days and will likely cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 300 PM MDT. $$ Forecaster Blake
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Tropical Depression Iselle Forecast Advisory Number 17
2020-08-30 16:35:10| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC SUN AUG 30 2020 000 WTPZ24 KNHC 301435 TCMEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ISELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142020 1500 UTC SUN AUG 30 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.0N 113.3W AT 30/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.0N 113.3W AT 30/1500Z AT 30/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.7N 113.4W FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 24.0N 113.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 25.0N 113.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.0N 113.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE
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