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Tropical Depression One-E Public Advisory Number 1
2020-04-25 16:44:04| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 800 AM PDT Sat Apr 25 2020 000 WTPZ31 KNHC 251443 TCPEP1 BULLETIN Tropical Depression One-E Advisory Number 1 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP012020 800 AM PDT Sat Apr 25 2020 ...EARLY TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS IN THE EASTERN PACIFIC... SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...14.1N 116.1W ABOUT 730 MI...1175 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 800 AM PDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression One-E was located near latitude 14.1 North, longitude 116.1 West. The depression is moving toward the northwest near 7 mph (11 km/h). This general motion is expected for the next day or so, followed by a turn toward the west on Sunday. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is anticipated today. The system is forecast to become a remnant low by late Sunday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 200 PM PDT. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky
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Tropical Depression One-E Forecast Advisory Number 1
2020-04-25 16:43:32| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC SAT APR 25 2020 370 WTPZ21 KNHC 251443 TCMEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012020 1500 UTC SAT APR 25 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 116.1W AT 25/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 116.1W AT 25/1500Z AT 25/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.9N 115.8W FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 14.9N 116.8W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 15.9N 118.1W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 16.7N 119.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 17.1N 121.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.1N 116.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/2100Z $$ FORECASTER ZELINSKY
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Tropical Depression Twenty-one-E Graphics
2019-11-18 15:47:42| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Mon, 18 Nov 2019 14:47:42 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Mon, 18 Nov 2019 15:24:16 GMT
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Tropical Depression Twenty-one-E Forecast Discussion Number 10
2019-11-18 15:46:12| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 900 AM CST Mon Nov 18 2019 000 WTPZ41 KNHC 181445 CCA TCDEP1 Tropical Depression Twenty-One-E Discussion Number 10...Corrected NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP212019 900 AM CST Mon Nov 18 2019 Corrected to remove location and intensity at 48 hours The deep convection increased this morning near the estimated location of the low level center, and this increase is most likely associated with the diurnal maximum. Subjective Dvorak intensity estimates from TAFB and SAB support winds of 25 knots, which will be the initial advisory intensity. The NHC forecast shows the system becoming a remnant low by 24 hours. All of the available intensity guidance supports this scenario, and the latest forecast is a just continuation of the previous one. Since the cyclone has such a weak tangential wind field, however, it could open into a trough at any time. The center has been difficult to track in infrared imagery this morning, and therefore the initial motion is a somewhat uncertain 280/5 kt. There is no change to the forecast track reasoning. The mid-level ridge to the cyclone's north will continue to steer it slowly to the west until dissipation. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 18/1500Z 12.3N 105.5W 25 KT 30 MPH 12H 19/0000Z 12.4N 106.3W 20 KT 25 MPH 24H 19/1200Z 12.5N 107.3W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 20/0000Z 12.5N 108.6W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 20/1200Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Latto/Mello
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Tropical Depression Twenty-one-E Forecast Advisory Number 10
2019-11-18 15:44:17| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC MON NOV 18 2019 000 WTPZ21 KNHC 181443 CCA TCMEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-ONE-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10...CORRECTED NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP212019 1500 UTC MON NOV 18 2019 CORRECTED TO REMOVE EXTRA DISSIPATION POINT THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 105.5W AT 18/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 105.5W AT 18/1500Z AT 18/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 105.3W FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 12.4N 106.3W MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 12.5N 107.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 12.5N 108.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.3N 105.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/2100Z $$ FORECASTER LATTO/MELLO
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