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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2015-11-07 00:44:34| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 062344 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 700 PM EST FRI NOV 6 2015 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Shower activity associated with a broad area of low pressure located over the Bay of Campeche remains disorganized. The low is forecast to merge with a cold front over the western Gulf of Mexico late Saturday, and significant development of this system is not expected. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent A large area of cloudiness and showers extending from the eastern Caribbean Sea across the Lesser Antilles into the Atlantic is associated with the interaction of an upper-level trough and a west-northwestward moving tropical wave. Development, if any, during the next day or two should be slow to occur. However, environmental conditions are expected to become more favorable by early next week, when the system is forecast to be near Hispaniola or the southeastern Bahamas. Regardless of development, locally heavy rains are possible over the Lesser Antilles, the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, and Hispaniola during the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent $$ Forecaster Brown
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2015-11-06 18:48:30| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 061748 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 100 PM EST FRI NOV 6 2015 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Shower activity associated with a broad area of low pressure centered over the eastern Bay of Campeche has changed little in organization since yesterday. This system is expected to move west-northwestward across the southwestern Gulf of Mexico during the next day or two, and some slow development is possible. After that time, the low is expected to encounter a cold front, which would make additional development unlikely. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent A large area of cloudiness and showers extending from the eastern Caribbean Sea across the Lesser Antilles into the Atlantic is associated with the interaction of an upper-level trough and a west- northwestward moving tropical wave. Development, if any, during the next day or two should be slow to occur. However, environmental conditions are expected to become more favorable late in the weekend, when the system is forecast to be near or north of Puerto Rico and Hispaniola. Regardless of development, locally heavy rains are possible over the Lesser Antilles, the Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico during the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent $$ Forecaster Beven
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2015-11-06 12:47:30| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 061147 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 700 AM EST FRI NOV 6 2015 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A broad area of low pressure over the Yucatan Peninsula and the adjacent waters of the Gulf of Mexico is producing disorganized shower activity. This system is expected to move west-northwestward into the southwestern Gulf of Mexico by Saturday and some slow development is possible during the next couple of days. After that time, the low is expected to encounter a cold front, which would make additional development unlikely. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent A large area of cloudiness and showers extending from near the Lesser Antilles eastward for several hundred miles is associated with the interaction of an upper-level trough and a west- northwestward moving tropical wave. Upper-level winds are currently not conducive for development. However, environmental conditions are forecast to become more favorable late in the weekend, when the system is forecast to be near or north of Puerto Rico. Regardless of development, locally heavy rains are possible over the Lesser Antilles, the Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico during the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent $$ Forecaster Beven
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2015-11-06 06:00:33| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 060500 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 100 AM EST FRI NOV 6 2015 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A broad area of low pressure over the Yucatan Peninsula is producing some disorganized showers well northeast of the center. This system is expected to move west-northwestward into the southwestern Gulf of Mexico by the weekend and some slow development is possible during the next couple of days. After that time, the low is expected to encounter a cold front, which would make additional development unlikely. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent A large area of cloudiness and showers near the Lesser Antilles extending eastward for several hundred miles is associated with the interaction of an upper-level trough and a tropical wave. Although upper-level winds are forecast to be too strong for development over the next couple of days, heavy rain is possible in the Lesser Antilles while the system moves through the area. By late in the weekend, when the system is forecast to be near or north of Puerto Rico, environmental conditions are forecast to become more favorable, and some development of the disturbance is possible early next week while it moves northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent $$ Forecaster Blake
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2015-11-06 00:44:55| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 052344 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 700 PM EST THU NOV 5 2015 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A broad area of low pressure over the northwestern Caribbean Sea continues to produce disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity. This system is expected to move west-northwestward across the Yucatan Peninsula into the southwestern Gulf of Mexico by the weekend. Some slow development is possible during the couple of days. After that time, the low is expected to encounter a cold front, which would make additional development unlikely. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent A large area of cloudiness and showers near the Leeward Islands extending eastward for several hundred miles is associated with the interaction of an upper-level trough and a tropical wave. Although upper-level winds are forecast to be too strong for development over the next couple of days, heavy rain is possible in the Leeward Islands while the system moves through the area. By late in the weekend, when the system is forecast to be near or north of Puerto Rico, environmental conditions are forecast to become more favorable, and some development of the disturbance is possible early next week while it moves northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent $$ Forecaster Blake
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
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