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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2015-08-05 01:45:41| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 042345 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 800 PM EDT TUE AUG 4 2015 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Surface data indicate that the area of low pressure located over southeastern North Carolina has become less defined during the past several hours. The associated thunderstorm activity also remains poorly organized, and the potential for this system to become a tropical cyclone is decreasing. Regardless of development, this system is expected to continue to produce gale-force winds over portions of the western Atlantic tonight before merging with a frontal system tomorrow. Additional information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent && High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1 and WMO header FZNT01 KWBC. $$ Forecaster Brown

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2015-08-04 22:33:12| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 042033 TWOAT SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 435 PM EDT TUE AUG 4 2015 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Special tropical weather outlook issued to update the discussion on the low pressure area near Wilmington, North Carolina. Satellite imagery and radar data indicate that thunderstorm activity associated with the low pressure area near Wilmington, North Carolina is poorly organized. However, an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft found an area of gale-force winds over the Atlantic Ocean well to the east and southeast of the center. There is still a short window of opportunity for this system to become a tropical cyclone before it merges with a frontal system Wednesday or Wednesday night. Regardless of development, locally heavy rains and gusty winds will continue to spread along the coastal areas of North Carolina through tonight. For additional information on this system, see High Seas Forecasts and local forecast office products issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent && High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1 and WMO header FZNT01 KWBC. $$ Forecaster Beven

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 
 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2015-08-04 19:47:42| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 041747 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 PM EDT TUE AUG 4 2015 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Satellite imagery and radar data indicate that thunderstorm activity associated with the low pressure area near Little River Inlet, North Carolina has not become better organized during the past few hours. While upper-level winds are at best marginally conducive, there is some potential for a tropical cyclone to form this afternoon or tonight as the low moves northeastward along the coast of North Carolina. After tonight, the low is expected to move into the open Atlantic Ocean and merge with a frontal system. Regardless of development, locally heavy rains and gusty winds will continue to spread along the coastal areas of North Carolina this afternoon and tonight. For additional information on this system, see High Seas Forecasts and local forecast office products issued by the National Weather Service. An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is currently investigating this system. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent && High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1 and WMO header FZNT01 KWBC. $$ Forecaster Beven

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2015-08-04 16:55:44| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 041455 TWOAT SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1055 AM EDT TUE AUG 4 2015 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Special tropical weather outlook issued to update the discussion on the low pressure area near Myrtle Beach, South Carolina. Satellite imagery and radar data indicate that thunderstorm activity has increased since yesterday in association with the low pressure area centered near Myrtle Beach, South Carolina. In addition, surface observations indicate that the circulation has become better defined, with winds near 35 mph over water to the east and south of the center. While upper-level winds are at best marginally conducive, there is some potential for a tropical cyclone to form later today or tonight as the low moves northeastward along the coasts of South and North Carolina. After tonight, the low is expected to move into the open Atlantic Ocean and merge with a frontal system. Regardless of development, locally heavy rains and gusty winds will spread along the coastal areas of South and North Carolina today and tonight. For additional information on this system, see High Seas Forecasts and local forecast office products issued by the National Weather Service. An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate this system this afternoon. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent && High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1 and WMO header FZNT01 KWBC. $$ Forecaster Beven

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2015-08-04 13:57:09| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 041157 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK...CORRECTED NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 800 AM EDT TUE AUG 4 2015 CORRETCED FOR TYPOS For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A weak area of low pressure located along the South Carolina coast between Myrtle Beach and Charleston continues to produce disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity. Upper-level winds are not expected to be conducive for development while this low accelerates northeastward near the South and North Carolina coasts during the day or so. For additional information on this system, see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. In addition, this system could produce locally heavy rains over the coastal area of South and North Carolina. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent && High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1 and WMO header FZNT01 KWBC. $$ Forecaster Beven

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

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