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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-08-17 01:54:59| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 162354 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Fri Aug 16 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: An area of low pressure located a couple of hundred miles south of the coast of Guatemala is producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for development, and a tropical depression is likely to form early next week while the low moves west-northwestward at about 10 mph parallel to the coast of Mexico. Regardless of development, moisture associated with the low is forecast to produce heavy rainfall and possible flash flooding across portions of Central America and southeastern Mexico during the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. A tropical wave is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms more than 1200 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Gradual development of this disturbance is possible during the next few days while it moves slowly westward across the tropical eastern Pacific. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Blake/Hagen
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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-08-16 19:34:55| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 161734 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Fri Aug 16 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A broad area of low pressure located a couple of hundred miles south of the coasts of El Salvador and Guatemala is producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for development, and a tropical depression is likely to form by the middle of next week while the low moves west-northwestward at about 10 mph parallel to the coast of Mexico. Regardless of development, moisture associated with the low is forecast to produce heavy rainfall and possible flash flooding across portions of Central America and southeastern Mexico during the next several days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. A tropical wave is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms about 1200 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Slow development of this disturbance is possible during the next couple of days while it moves slowly westward across the tropical eastern Pacific. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. $$ Forecaster Berg/Hagen
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eastern
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-08-16 13:41:28| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 161141 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Fri Aug 16 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A broad area of low pressure has formed a couple of hundred miles south of the coasts of El Salvador and Guatemala and is producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual development of the low, and a tropical depression could form by early next week while the system moves west-northwestward at about 10 mph parallel to the coast of Mexico. Regardless of development, moisture associated with the low is forecast to produce heavy rainfall and possible flash flooding across portions of Central America during the next several days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. A tropical wave is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms about 1100 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Slow development of this disturbance is possible during the next couple of days while it moves slowly westward across the tropical eastern Pacific. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. $$ Forecaster Berg
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eastern
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-08-16 07:27:19| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 160526 CCA TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook...Corrected NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Thu Aug 15 2019 Corrected order of paragraphs for graphical product. For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: An area of disturbed weather has formed about 1000 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Although the associated shower and thunderstorm activity is showing some signs of organization, the system does not appear to have a well-defined surface center. Slow development of this disturbance is possible during the next couple of days while it moves westward across the tropical eastern Pacific. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. An elongated area of low pressure located about 1700 miles west of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing intermittent showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are not conducive for development and tropical cyclone formation is not anticipated. The low is forecast to move generally westward at 10 to 15 mph for the new couple of days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...near 0 percent. An area of low pressure is forecast to form south of the coasts of El Salvador, Guatemala, and southeastern Mexico in a day or two. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual development of the low thereafter and a tropical depression could form by early next week while the system moves slowly westward or west-northwestward. Regardless of development, moisture associated with the system is forecast to produce heavy rainfall and possible flash flooding across portions of Central America during the next several days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky
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Chart: Eastern Rig Count As Of August 16, 2019
2019-08-16 07:00:00| OGI
Alabama. Florida, Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky, Michigan, New York, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia and West Virginia
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