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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2019-08-14 19:31:53| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

699 ABPZ20 KNHC 141731 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Wed Aug 14 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The first few visible satellite images of the day indicate that the the low pressure system located more than 1300 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula does not have a well-defined center, and the circulation remains elongated. In addition, the low is producing limited shower and thunderstorm activity at this time. Environmental conditions are expected to be marginally conducive for some development, and a tropical depression could still form over the next few days before the system reaches cooler waters and upper-level winds become unfavorable. This disturbance is forecast to move west- northwestward at 10 to 15 mph during the next couple of days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. A broad area of low pressure is forecast to form south or southeast of the southeastern coast of Mexico over the weekend. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual development of the system early next week while the system moves generally westward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Berg

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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2019-08-14 14:28:24| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 141228 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Wed Aug 14 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: An elongated low pressure system located more than 1300 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing a small area of showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are expected to be somewhat conducive for development, and a tropical depression could form over the next few days before the system reaches cooler waters and upper-level winds become unfavorable. This disturbance is forecast to move west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph during the next couple of days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. A broad area of low pressure is forecast to form south or southeast of the southeastern coast of Mexico late this week. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual development of the system over the weekend while the system moves generally westward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Berg

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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2019-08-14 07:17:26| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

140 ABPZ20 KNHC 140517 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Tue Aug 13 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: An elongated low pressure system located more than 1200 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing a small area of showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are expected to be somewhat conducive for some development during the next few days, and a tropical depression could form later this week before upper-level winds become unfavorable. This disturbance is expected to move west-northwestward at around 10 mph during the next several days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. A broad area of low pressure is forecast to form south or southeast of the southeastern coast of Mexico late this week. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual development of the system over the weekend while the system moves generally westward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2019-08-14 01:36:21| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 132336 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Tue Aug 13 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: An elongated trough of low pressure located about 1200 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for some development during the next few days, and a tropical depression could form later this week before upper-level winds become unfavorable. This disturbance is expected to move west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph during the next several days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. A broad area of low pressure is forecast to form south or southeast of the southeastern coast of Mexico late this week. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual development of the system over the weekend while the system moves westward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2019-08-13 19:30:45| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 131730 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Tue Aug 13 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center has issued its last advisory on Henriette, which has become a remnant low located a few hundred miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located about 1100 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula are associated with an elongated trough of low pressure. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for some development during the next few days, and a tropical depression could form later this week while the system moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. A broad area of low pressure is forecast to form south or southeast of the southeastern coast of Mexico late this week. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual development of the system over the weekend. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Pasch

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

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