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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-08-16 01:39:48| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 152339 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Thu Aug 15 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: An elongated area of low pressure located about 1600 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing a small area of disorganized showers. Environmental conditions do not appear conducive for significant development of this system while it moves westward at 10 to 15 mph during the next couple of days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. An area of low pressure is forecast to form south of the coasts of El Salvador, Guatemala, and southeastern Mexico over the weekend. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual development of the low while it moves slowly westward early next week. Regardless of development, moisture associated with this system is forecast to produce heavy rainfall and possible flash flooding across portions of Central America through early next week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky/Hagen
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eastern
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-08-15 19:25:42| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 151725 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Thu Aug 15 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: An elongated area of low pressure located more than 1500 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing a small area of showers and a few thunderstorms. Environmental conditions do not appear conducive for significant development of this system while it moves westward at 10 to 15 mph during the next couple of days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. An area of low pressure is forecast to form south of the coasts of El Salvador, Guatemala, and southeastern Mexico over the weekend. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual development of the low while it moves slowly westward early next week. Regardless of development, moisture associated with this system is forecast to produce heavy rainfall and possible flash flooding across portions of Central America through early next week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Berg
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-08-15 13:31:08| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 151130 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Thu Aug 15 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: An elongated area of low pressure located about 1500 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing limited shower activity. Environmental conditions do not appear conducive for significant development of this system while it moves westward at 10 to 15 mph during the next couple of days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. An area of low pressure is forecast to form south of the coasts of El Salvador, Guatemala, and southeastern Mexico over the weekend. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual development of the low while it moves slowly westward early next week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Berg
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-08-15 07:00:31| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 150500 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Wed Aug 14 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: An elongated area of low pressure is producing limited shower activity. Only slight development of this disturbance, if any, is expected during the next couple of days while it moves westward at 10 to 15 mph. Environmental conditions are forecast to become unfavorable for further development by the weekend. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. An area of low pressure is forecast to form south or southeast of the southeastern coast of Mexico over the weekend. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual development thereafter while the system moves generally westward through early next week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-08-15 01:49:58| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 142349 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Wed Aug 14 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A weak area of low pressure located about 1400 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continues to produce limited showers and thunderstorms. Recent satellite-based wind data indicates that the circulation of the system is elongated and poorly defined. Environmental conditions are expected to be marginally conducive for development for the next couple of days and a tropical depression could still form before the system reaches cooler waters and upper-level winds become unfavorable over the central Pacific. This disturbance is forecast to move west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph during the next couple of days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. An area of low pressure is forecast to form south or southeast of the southeastern coast of Mexico over the weekend. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual development of the system early next week while it moves generally westward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
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