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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-07-28 19:37:49| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 281737 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Wed Jul 28 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Satellite imagery indicates that an area of low pressure located about 900 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continues to produce some showers and thunderstorms, mainly to the east and southeast of its center. Environmental conditions are expected to gradually become more favorable for development during the next couple of days, and a tropical depression could form by this weekend while the system moves generally westward at 5 to 10 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. A broad area of low pressure is expected to develop during the next few days several hundred miles offshore of the southwestern coast of Mexico. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for some gradual development thereafter, and a tropical depression could form later this weekend or early next week while the system moves westward or west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster Reinhart/Cangialosi

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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-07-28 13:53:49| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 281153 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Wed Jul 28 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Showers and thunderstorms have become slightly better organized since yesterday in association with a low-pressure system located about 900 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Environmental conditions remain conducive for some additional development, and a tropical depression could form late this week or this weekend while the system moves generally westward at 5 to 10 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. An area of low pressure is expected to develop later this week several hundred miles offshore of the southwestern coast of Mexico. Environmental conditions are forecast to be favorable for some gradual development thereafter, and a tropical depression could form this weekend or early next week while the system moves westward or west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster Reinhart/Brennan

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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-07-28 07:16:39| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

135 ABPZ20 KNHC 280516 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Tue Jul 27 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A low-pressure system located about 900 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms near and to the southeast of its center. This activity has changed little in organization tonight, but environmental conditions remain marginally conducive for additional development. A tropical depression could form later this week as the system moves generally westward at around 5 to 10 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. An area of low pressure is expected to develop later this week several hundred miles offshore of the southwestern coast of Mexico. Environmental conditions are forecast to be favorable for some gradual development thereafter, and a tropical depression could form this weekend while the system moves westward or west-northwestward at around 10 to 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster Papin/Brown

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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-07-28 01:14:39| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 272314 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Tue Jul 27 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A low-pressure system located over 850 miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms near and to the southeast of its center. This activity has recently become a little more concentrated closer to the center, and environmental conditions appear marginally conducive for additional development. A tropical depression could form later this week as the system moves generally westward at around 5 to 10 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. An area of low pressure is expected to develop later this week several hundred miles offshore of the southwestern coast of Mexico. Environmental conditions are forecast to be favorable for some gradual development thereafter, and a tropical depression could form this weekend while the system moves westward or west-northwestward at around 10 to 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster Papin/Brown

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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-07-27 19:37:33| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 271737 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Tue Jul 27 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A low-pressure system located over 800 miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms near and to the southeast of its center. Environmental conditions appear marginally conducive for some gradual development of this system over the next several days as it moves westward at around 10 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. An area of low pressure is expected to develop later this week several hundred miles offshore of the southern coast of Mexico. Environmental conditions are forecast to be favorable for some gradual development thereafter, and a tropical depression could form this weekend while the system moves westward or west-northwestward at around 10 to 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster Reinhart/Pasch

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