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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-08-04 19:30:42| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 041730 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Wed Aug 4 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Hilda, located more than 1100 miles west of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with the remnant low pressure system of Tropical Depression Nine-E, located more than 1600 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula, has continued to become better organized during the past several hours. If this development trend continues, tropical cyclone advisories will be initiated on this system later today. Environmental conditions appear to be conducive for additonal development over the next few days while the system moves northwestward at 5 to 10 mph. By late Thursday, further development is not expected as the system is forecast to move over cooler waters. For additional information on this system see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...near 100 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...near 100 percent. An area of low pressure is expected to develop a few hundred miles south of the southern coast of Mexico late this week. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for some gradual development this weekend while the system moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, parallel to and offshore the coast of southwestern Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. && High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php $$ Forecaster Roberts

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-08-04 13:27:35| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 041127 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Wed Aug 4 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Hilda, located more than 1000 miles west of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Shower activity, in association with the remnants of Tropical Depression Nine-E, located more than 1600 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula, continue to become better organized. Environmental conditions are expected to be somewhat conducive for development over the next day or so, and a tropical depression is likely to form later today or tonight while the system moves northwestward at 5 to 10 mph. By late Thursday, further development is not expected as the system is forecast to move over cooler waters. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. An area of low pressure is expected to develop a few hundred miles south of the southern coast of Mexico late this week. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for some gradual development this weekend while the system remains offshore and moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, parallel to and offshore the coast of southwestern Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Roberts

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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-08-04 07:52:01| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 040551 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Tue Aug 3 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Hilda, located more than 1000 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula, and has issued the last advisory on Post-Tropical Cyclone Ignacio, located about 400 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Shower activity has increased near a low pressure system, associated with the remnants of Tropical Depression Nine-E, more than 1600 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Environmental conditions are expected to be somewhat conducive for development over the next day or so, and a tropical depression is likely to form tonight or Wednesday while the system moves northwestward at 5 to 10 mph. By late Thursday, further development is not expected as the system is forecast to move over cooler waters. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. An area of low pressure is expected to develop a few hundred miles south of the southern coast of Mexico late this week. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for some gradual development this weekend while the system remains offshore and moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, roughly parallel to the coast of southwestern Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Beven

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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-08-04 01:27:25| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 032327 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Tue Aug 3 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Hilda, located more than 1000 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula, and on Tropical Depression Ignacio, located about 400 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. A low pressure system associated with the remnants of Tropical Depression Nine-E is producing limited and disorganized shower activity more than 1600 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Environmental conditions are expected to be somewhat conducive for development over the next day or so, and a tropical depression is likely to form tonight or Wednesday while the system moves northwestward at 5 to 10 mph. By late Thursday, further development is not expected as the system is forecast to move over cooler waters. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. An area of low pressure is expected to develop a few hundred miles south of the southern coast of Mexico late this week. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for some gradual development this weekend while the system remains offshore and moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, roughly parallel to the coast of southwestern Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Reinhart/Pasch

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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-08-03 19:32:48| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 031732 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Tue Aug 3 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Hilda, located more than 1000 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula, and on Tropical Depression Ignacio, located more than 400 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. A low pressure system associated with the remnants of Tropical Depression Nine-E is located more than 1500 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Although the associated shower activity is currently limited, it continues to show some signs of organization. Environmental conditions are expected to be somewhat conducive for development over the next couple of days, and a tropical depression is likely to form tonight or Wednesday while the system moves west-northwestward to northwestward at 5 to 10 mph. By late Thursday, the system is forecast to move over cooler waters and further development by that time is not expected. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. An area of low pressure is expected to develop a few hundred miles south of the southern coast of Mexico late this week. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for gradual development thereafter while the system remains offshore and moves west- northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, roughly parallel to the coast of southwestern Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart

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