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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-07-26 07:49:39| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 260549 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Sun Jul 25 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A well-defined low pressure system located about 1100 miles east-southeast of the Hawaiian Islands continues to move westward at about 15 mph. Shower and thunderstorm activity remains disorganized, and environmental conditions are gradually becoming less conducive for additional development to occur. However, any increase in the organization of the shower activity would result in the formation of a tropical depression on Monday. The low is forecast to move into the Central Pacific basin by late Monday morning, and by Tuesday conditions are expected to become unfavorable for further development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. An area of low pressure is forecast to develop by midweek a few hundred miles south or southeast of the Gulf of Tehuantepec. Thereafter, some gradual development is possible through late this week while the system moves generally west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, remaining a couple of hundred miles offshore of the coast of southern Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart
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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-07-26 01:22:32| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 252322 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Sun Jul 25 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: An area of low pressure located about 1200 miles east-southeast of the Hawaiian Islands continues to move westward at about 15 mph. Showers and thunderstorms associated with the system have persisted for much of the day, but they remain displaced to the northwest and north of the circulation center. Environmental conditions are expected to remain conducive for some additional development during the next day or so, and only a slight increase in the organization of the system would result in the development of a tropical depression. The low is forecast to move into the Central Pacific basin on Monday morning, and on Tuesday conditions are expected to become unfavorable for further development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. An area of low pressure is forecast to develop by midweek a few hundred miles south or southeast of the Gulf of Tehuantepec. Thereafter, some gradual development is possible through late this week while the system moves generally west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, remaining a couple of hundred miles offshore of the coast of southern Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster Brown
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-07-25 19:41:54| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 251741 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Sun Jul 25 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Recent satellite and microwave imagery indicate that an area of low pressure located over 1300 miles east-southeast of the Hawaiian Islands continues to show signs of organization. Environmental conditions remain conducive for further development, and a tropical depression is likely to form within the next day or so while the system moves westward at 10 to 15 mph. By Tuesday night, conditions are expected to become unfavorable for further development of this system. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. An area of low pressure is forecast to develop by midweek a few hundred miles south or southeast of the Gulf of Tehuantepec. Thereafter, some gradual development is possible through late this week while the system moves generally west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, remaining a couple of hundred miles offshore of the coast of southern Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Reinhart/Pasch
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-07-25 13:42:40| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 251142 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Sun Jul 25 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Satellite imagery indicates that a low pressure system located over 1400 miles east-southeast of the Hawaiian Islands is showing signs of better organization this morning, with increased shower and thunderstorm activity mainly to the north of its center. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for further development, and a tropical depression is likely to form within the next day or so while the system moves westward at 10 to 15 mph. By Tuesday, cooler waters and unfavorable upper-level winds will likely limit any further development of this system. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. An area of low pressure could form in several days a few hundred miles south or southeast of the Gulf of Tehuantepec. Thereafter, some gradual development is possible through late this week while the system moves generally west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, remaining a couple of hundred miles offshore of the coast of southern Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Reinhart/Pasch
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-07-25 07:27:44| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 250527 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Sat Jul 24 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A low pressure system located about 1500 miles east-southeast of the Hawaiian Islands continues to show signs of organization. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for further development, and the system could become a tropical depression later this weekend or early next week before reaching cooler waters while moving westward at 10 to 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. An area of low pressure could form a few hundred miles south or southeast of the Gulf of Tehuantepec in a few days. Some gradual development is possible thereafter through the middle of next week while the system moves generally parallel to, but offshore of, the coast of southern Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
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