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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-07-31 01:37:04| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 302336 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Fri Jul 30 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on newly- developed Tropical Storm Hilda, located about 800 miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula, and on newly-developed Tropical Depression Nine-E, located more than 1200 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Showers and thunderstorms associated with a tropical wave located a few hundred miles off the coast of southern Mexico have become a little better organized since yesterday. Continued gradual development of this system is expected during the next several days, and a tropical depression is likely to form early next week while it moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. && Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Hilda are issued under WMO header WTPZ33 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP3. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Hilda are issued under WMO header WTPZ23 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP3. Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Nine-E are issued under WMO header WTPZ34 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP4. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Nine-E are issued under WMO header WTPZ24 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP4. $$ Forecaster Beven

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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-07-30 19:43:25| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

200 ABPZ20 KNHC 301743 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Fri Jul 30 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Satellite wind data indicate that tropical-storm-force winds are occuring on the east side of an elongated low pressure system located about 700 miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Any improvement in the organization of the circulation would lead to the system being designated a tropical storm, and that is expected to occur later today or Saturday. For more information on this system, please see High Seas forecasts issued by the NOAA Tropical Analysis and Forecast Branch. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. Another area of low pressure is located about 1300 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. The associated showers and thunderstorms are showing signs of organization, but are still mostly confined to the southeast of the center. Upper-level winds are expected to become more conducive for development during the next day or so, and a tropical depression is expected to form over the weekend while the system moves generally westward at 5 to 10 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located a few hundred miles off the coast of southern Mexico are associated with a tropical wave. Gradual development of this system is expected during the next several days, and it could become a tropical depression early next week while it moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. && High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php $$ Forecaster Cangialosi

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-07-30 13:29:51| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 301129 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Fri Jul 30 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Showers and thunderstorms continue to show signs of organization in association with an elongated area of low pressure located about 650 miles southwest of the coast of southwestern Mexico. Environmental conditions are conducive for development, and a tropical depression or tropical storm is expected to form later today or Saturday while the system moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. For more information on this system, please see High Seas forecasts issued by the NOAA Tropical Analysis and Forecast Branch. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. Showers and thunderstorms have changed little overnight in association with an area of low pressure located about 1300 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Upper-level winds are expected to become more conducive for development during the next day or two, and a tropical depression is expected to form over the weekend while the system moves generally westward at 5 to 10 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located a few hundred miles off the coast of southern Mexico are associated with a trough of low pressure. Gradual development of this system is expected during the next several days, and it could become a tropical depression early next week while it moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. && High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php $$ Forecaster Cangialosi

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-07-30 07:18:47| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 300518 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Thu Jul 29 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: An area of low pressure located about 650 miles southwest of the coast of southwestern Mexico continues to produce showers and thunderstorms. This system is gradually becoming better organized, but the latest satellite wind data shows that the low lacks a well-defined center. Environmental conditions are conducive for further development, and a tropical depression or tropical storm is expected to form by Saturday while the system moves west- northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. For more information on this system, please see High Seas forecasts issued by the NOAA Tropical Analysis and Forecast Branch. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. Showers and thunderstorms have increased in association with an area of low pressure located about 1200 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Upper-level winds are expected to become more conducive for development during the next couple of days, and a tropical depression is expected to form over the weekend while the system moves generally westward at 5 to 10 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. An area of disturbed weather continues several hundred miles south-southwest of the Gulf of Tehuantepec. Additional gradual development is expected during the next several days, and the system could become a tropical depression early next week while it moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. && High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php $$ Forecaster Blake

Tags: north weather pacific eastern