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Tropical Storm BONNIE Public Advisory Number 7
2016-05-29 10:47:18| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 500 AM EDT SUN MAY 29 2016 000 WTNT32 KNHC 290846 TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM BONNIE ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022016 500 AM EDT SUN MAY 29 2016 ...BONNIE WEAKENS SLIGHTLY WHILE IT MOVES NORTHWARD... ...SIGNIFICANT RAINS AFFECTING MUCH OF EASTERN GEORGIA...SOUTH CAROLINA...AND SOUTHEASTERN NORTH CAROLINA... SUMMARY OF 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...32.1N 79.4W ABOUT 60 MI...95 KM SE OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA ABOUT 115 MI...185 KM SSW OF MYRTLE BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The Tropical Storm Warning has been discontinued from Edisto Beach South Carolina southwestward to the Savannah River. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * East of Edisto Beach to Little River Inlet South Carolina A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the next 12 hours. For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 500 AM EDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Bonnie was located near latitude 32.1 North, longitude 79.4 West. Bonnie is moving toward the north near 8 mph (13 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue today. On the forecast track, the center of Bonnie is expected to move near the coast in the warning area later today. A slow northeastward motion near the central and northern coast of South Carolina is expected by tonight and on Monday. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast during the next 24 hours, followed by slow weakening on Monday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km), mainly to the northwest of the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1009 mb (29.80 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Bonnie is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations of 2 to 4 inches with isolated maximum amounts of 6 inches from central and eastern South Carolina to the Georgia border, and 1 to 3 inches farther north across southeastern North Carolina. Heavy rain is expected to develop well north of Bonnie's main circulation into parts of the Mid-Atlantic region and the Northeast with total accumulations of 1 to 2 inches through Monday and isolated maximum amounts of 4 inches. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to reach the coast within the warning area later this morning or afternoon. STORM SURGE: Storm surge inundation of 1 to 2 feet above ground level is possible within the tropical storm warning area during the next high tide this afternoon. SURF: Bonnie is expected to produce life-threatening surf and rip current conditions along portions of the southeastern United States coast through the weekend. Please consult products from your local weather office. TORNADOES: An isolated tornado is still possible through this afternoon over the immediate South Carolina coastal region. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 800 AM EDT. Next complete advisory at 1100 AM EDT. $$ Forecaster Stewart
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Tropical Storm BONNIE Forecast Advisory Number 7
2016-05-29 10:47:12| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC SUN MAY 29 2016 000 WTNT22 KNHC 290846 TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM BONNIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022016 0900 UTC SUN MAY 29 2016 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED FROM EDISTO BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA SOUTHWESTWARD TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * EAST OF EDISTO BEACH TO LITTLE RIVER INLET SOUTH CAROLINA A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.1N 79.4W AT 29/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 0NE 0SE 0SW 40NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 45NE 0SE 0SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.1N 79.4W AT 29/0900Z AT 29/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.6N 79.4W FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 32.6N 79.6W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 33.3N 79.6W...INLAND MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 20NW. FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 33.5N 78.9W...OVER WATER MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 33.9N 78.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 34.5N 76.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 02/0600Z 35.2N 75.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z 35.8N 74.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.1N 79.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/1500Z $$ FORECASTER STEWART
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Tropical Storm BONNIE Graphics
2016-05-29 07:51:24| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sun, 29 May 2016 05:51:24 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sun, 29 May 2016 03:03:33 GMT
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Summary for Tropical Storm BONNIE (AT2/AL022016)
2016-05-29 07:50:35| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...BONNIE TURNS NORTHWARD... ...RAINBANDS AFFECTING MOST OF THE SOUTH CAROLINA COAST AND EXTREME EASTERN GEORGIA... As of 2:00 AM EDT Sun May 29 the center of BONNIE was located near 31.5, -79.4 with movement N at 6 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1008 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 45 mph.
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Tropical Storm BONNIE Public Advisory Number 6A
2016-05-29 07:50:35| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 200 AM EDT SUN MAY 29 2016 000 WTNT32 KNHC 290550 TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM BONNIE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 6A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022016 200 AM EDT SUN MAY 29 2016 ...BONNIE TURNS NORTHWARD... ...RAINBANDS AFFECTING MOST OF THE SOUTH CAROLINA COAST AND EXTREME EASTERN GEORGIA... SUMMARY OF 200 AM EDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...31.5N 79.4W ABOUT 100 MI...165 KM SSE OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA ABOUT 155 MI...245 KM S OF MYRTLE BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Savannah River to Little River Inlet South Carolina A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the next 12 hours. For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 200 AM EDT (0600 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Bonnie was estimated to be near latitude 31.5 North, longitude 79.4 West. Bonnie is now moving toward the north near 6 mph (9 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue today. On the forecast track, the center of Bonnie is expected to move near the coast in the warning area later today. A slow northeastward motion near the central and northern coast of South Carolina is expected by tonight and on Monday. Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Some weakening is expected to begin later today. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km), mainly to the northwest of the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Bonnie is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations of 2 to 4 inches with maximum amounts around 6 inches from central and eastern South Carolina to the Georgia border. Rainfall accumulations of 1 to 3 inches are expected across southeastern North Carolina. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to first reach the coast within the warning area later this morning. STORM SURGE: Storm surge inundation of 1 to 2 feet above ground level is possible within the tropical storm warning area during the next high tide this morning. SURF: Bonnie is expected to produce life-threatening surf and rip current conditions along portions of the southeastern United States coast through the weekend. Please consult products from your local weather office. TORNADOES: An isolated tornado will be possible through early this morning over the immediate South Carolina coastal region. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM EDT. $$ Forecaster Stewart/Berg
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