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Remnants of Victor Graphics
2021-10-04 16:44:46| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Mon, 04 Oct 2021 14:44:46 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Mon, 04 Oct 2021 15:28:48 GMT
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Summary for Remnants of Victor (AT5/AL202021)
2021-10-04 16:42:57| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...VICTOR DEGENERATES INTO A TROUGH OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC... ...THIS IS THE FINAL NHC ADVISORY... As of 11:00 AM AST Mon Oct 4 the center of Victor was located near 18.8, -45.2 with movement WNW at 15 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1011 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 30 mph.
Remnants of Victor Public Advisory Number 21
2021-10-04 16:42:57| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 AM AST Mon Oct 04 2021 000 WTNT35 KNHC 041442 TCPAT5 BULLETIN Remnants Of Victor Advisory Number 21 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL202021 1100 AM AST Mon Oct 04 2021 ...VICTOR DEGENERATES INTO A TROUGH OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC... ...THIS IS THE FINAL NHC ADVISORY... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...18.8N 45.2W ABOUT 1410 MI...2270 KM W OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1011 MB...29.86 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the remnants of Victor were located near latitude 18.8 North, longitude 45.2 West. The remnants are moving toward the west-northwest near 15 mph (24 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue through tonight. Recent satellite-derived wind data indicate that maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts. Weakening is forecast through tonight. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1011 mb (29.86 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on Victor. Additional information on the remnants of Victor can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php $$ Forecaster Reinhart
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Remnants of Victor Wind Speed Probabilities Number 21
2021-10-04 16:42:57| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC MON OCT 04 2021 000 FONT15 KNHC 041442 PWSAT5 REMNANTS OF VICTOR WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 21 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL202021 1500 UTC MON OCT 04 2021 AT 1500Z THE REMNANTS OF VICTOR WERE LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 45.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 25 KTS ...30 MPH...45 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ...THERE IS NO OFFICIAL FORECAST FOR THIS DATE/TIME... AND THEREFORE NO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES CAN BE CALCULATED... $$ FORECASTER REINHART
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Remnants of Victor Forecast Advisory Number 21
2021-10-04 16:42:36| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC MON OCT 04 2021 000 WTNT25 KNHC 041442 TCMAT5 REMNANTS OF VICTOR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 21 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL202021 1500 UTC MON OCT 04 2021 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. REMNANTS OF CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 45.2W AT 04/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1011 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 45.2W AT 04/1500Z AT 04/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 44.5W FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.8N 45.2W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON VICTOR. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THE REMNANTS OF VICTOR CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC. $$ FORECASTER REINHART
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