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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2018-08-15 04:41:32| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

933 ABNT20 KNHC 150241 TWOAT Special Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1040 PM EDT Tue Aug 14 2018 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Special outlook issued to update discussion of the area of low pressure located well southeast of Cape Race, Newfoundland. Updated: Satellite imagery indicates that shower and thunderstorm activity associated with the area of low pressure located about 800 miles south-southeast of Cape Race, Newfoundland, has become better organized during the past few hours. Satellite-derived wind data also indicate that the surface circulation has become better defined since earlier today. Conditions appear conducive for some additional development during the next day or so, and a subtropical depression or subtropical storm could form overnight or on Wednesday while the low moves northward to northeastward. Later this week, the low is expected to move northeastward over colder waters and merge with a frontal zone over the northern Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. $$ Forecaster Brennan/Stewart

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2018-08-15 01:21:32| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

785 ABNT20 KNHC 142321 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Tue Aug 14 2018 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A large non-tropical area of low pressure located about 750 miles south-southeast of Cape Race, Newfoundland, is producing showers and thunderstorms over the eastern and southern portions of its circulation as it interacts with a strong upper-level trough. While satellite imagery indicates that the low currently lacks a well- defined center, this system could acquire some additional subtropical characteristics during the next day or so. Later this week, the low is expected to move northeastward over colder waters and merge with a frontal zone over the northern Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster Brennan

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 
 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2018-08-15 01:15:00| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

965 ABPZ20 KNHC 142314 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Tue Aug 14 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A well-defined low pressure system is located about 1050 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Associated thunderstorm activity continues to gradually increase in organization, and a tropical depression is likely to form tonight or Wednesday while the disturbance moves westward at 10 to 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...near 100 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2018-08-14 19:26:32| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

178 ABPZ20 KNHC 141725 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Tue Aug 14 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A well-defined low pressure system is located just over 1000 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Showers and thunderstorms continue to become better organized, and a tropical depression is likely to form tonight or Wednesday while the disturbance moves westward at 10 to 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. Shower activity has continued to decrease near a low pressure system located just over 1300 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Development of this system is not anticipated while it moves northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent. $$ Forecaster Roberts

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2018-08-14 19:26:32| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

179 ABNT20 KNHC 141725 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Tue Aug 14 2018 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A non-tropical low appears to be forming to the east of the larger complex low pressure system centered several hundred miles south of Cape Race, Newfoundland. This new low could acquire some subtropical characteristics by Wednesday. However, after that time the low should be moving northeastward over colder waters and be absorbed by a larger extratropical cyclone. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster Avila

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

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