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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-07-25 07:42:47| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 250542 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Sun Jul 25 2021 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A well-defined low pressure system located about 160 miles east of Daytona Beach, Florida, continues to produce disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity mainly east through south of the center. Environmental conditions are expected to remain marginally conducive for additional development, and a tropical depression could still form later today or early Monday while the low moves generally westward at 5 to 10 mph toward the east coast of Florida. An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate the low this afternoon, if necessary. Interests in Florida should continue to monitor the progress of this system. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-07-25 07:27:44| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 250527 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Sat Jul 24 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A low pressure system located about 1500 miles east-southeast of the Hawaiian Islands continues to show signs of organization. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for further development, and the system could become a tropical depression later this weekend or early next week before reaching cooler waters while moving westward at 10 to 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. An area of low pressure could form a few hundred miles south or southeast of the Gulf of Tehuantepec in a few days. Some gradual development is possible thereafter through the middle of next week while the system moves generally parallel to, but offshore of, the coast of southern Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 
 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-07-25 01:25:13| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 242325 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Sat Jul 24 2021 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Earlier this afternoon and evening, an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft investigated the low pressure system off the east coast of Florida and found a well-defined center of circulation about 185 miles east of Cape Canaveral. However, the system still lacks organized shower and thunderstorm activity near its center and therefore has not met the criteria to be designated as a tropical depression. Environmental conditions are expected to remain marginally conducive for additional development, and a tropical depression could still form overnight or on Sunday while the low moves generally westward at 5 to 10 mph toward the east coast of Florida. Interests in Florida should continue to monitor the progress of this system. Another Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate the system Sunday morning, if necessary. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. $$ Forecaster Berg/Blake

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-07-25 01:14:11| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 242314 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Sat Jul 24 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A broad area of low pressure located about 1600 miles west- southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continues to show signs of organization. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for further development, and this system could become a tropical depression later this weekend or early next week before reaching cooler waters while moving westward at 10 to 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. An area of low pressure could form a few hundred miles south or southeast of the Gulf of Tehuantepec in a few days. Some gradual development is possible thereafter through the middle of next week while the system moves generally parallel to, but offshore of, the coast of southern Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Blake

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-07-24 19:55:05| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 241754 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Sat Jul 24 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A broad area of low pressure located more than 1400 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing a concentrated area of showers and thunderstorms. This activity has become a bit better organized, but the system currently lacks a well-defined low-level circulation. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for further development, and this system could become a tropical depression later this weekend or early next week before reaching cooler waters while moving westward at 10 to 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. $$ Forecaster Papin/Beven

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

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