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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-06-24 19:54:07| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 241753 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Thu Jun 24 2021 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A strong tropical wave located over the far east Atlantic off the African coast is producing a broad area of showers and thunderstorms. As the system moves west-northwestward into the central Atlantic Ocean, conditions appear only marginally conducive for development due to relatively cool ocean temperatures. However, a small tropical depression could still form by early next week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. Recent satellite-derived surface winds indicate that the small area of low pressure located about 100 miles east-southeast of Barbados has degenerated into a trough. In addition, shower and thunderstorm activity has diminished with this system. Unfavorable upper-level winds are expected to prevent development of this disturbance while moving toward the west-northwest at about 10 mph. Even though development is not expected, the disturbance could produce increased shower activity and some gusty winds while moving across the Lesser Antilles over the next couple of days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent. $$ Forecaster Papin/Cangialosi
Tags: weather
atlantic
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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-06-24 19:50:05| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 241749 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Thu Jun 24 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Showers and thunderstorms continue to show some signs of organization in association with a low pressure system located a couple of hundred miles south of southern Mexico. However, recent satellite wind data indicates that the circulation is still broad and elongated. Environmental conditions are conducive for gradual development, and a tropical depression is expected to form in a day or two while the disturbance moves west-northwestward at about 10 mph. This system is expected to be near the coast of southern or southwestern Mexico through the weekend, and interests in those areas should monitor its potential for development, as well as the threat of heavy rainfall and flooding. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-06-24 13:24:29| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 241124 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Thu Jun 24 2021 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity is decreasing this morning to the east of a small area of low pressure located more than 100 miles east-southeast of Barbados. Increasing upper-level winds are likely to prevent further development of this system during the next couple of days while it moves west-northwestward at about 10 mph. This disturbance could produce increased shower activity and some gusty winds while moving across the Lesser Antilles over the next couple of days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. A strong tropical wave has emerged just off the coast of Africa this morning. Although ocean temperatures are still relatively cool over the tropical Atlantic Ocean and are only marginally conducive for development, a small tropical depression could form by early next week while this system moves westward to west-northwestward at about 15 mph across the tropical eastern and central Atlantic Ocean. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster Papin/Cangialosi
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-06-24 13:19:56| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
890 ABPZ20 KNHC 241119 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Thu Jun 24 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Although showers and thunderstorms have increased in association with an area of low pressure located a couple of hundred miles south of southern Mexico, the circulation remains broad and elongated. Environmental conditions are conducive for gradual development, and a tropical depression is expected to form within the next couple of days while the disturbance moves west-northwestward at about 10 mph. This system is expected to be near the coast of southern or southwestern Mexico through the weekend, and interests in those areas should monitor its potential for development, as well as the threat of heavy rainfall and flooding. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-06-24 07:12:22| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 240512 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Wed Jun 23 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Showers and thunderstorms are gradually becoming better organized in association with a broad area of low pressure located a couple of hundred miles south of the coast of southern Mexico. Environmental conditions are conducive for further development, and a tropical depression is expected to form during the next couple of days while the disturbance moves west-northwestward at about 10 mph. This system is expected to be near the coast of southern or southwestern Mexico through the weekend, and interests in those areas should monitor its potential for development, as well as the threat of heavy rainfall and flooding. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. $$ Forecaster Berg
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
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