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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-06-14 01:13:25| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 132313 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Sun Jun 13 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Carlos, located over 1300 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. An area of low pressure is expected to form by late this week a couple of hundred miles offshore of the coast of southwestern Mexico. Environmental conditions could support some gradual development of this system thereafter as it moves slowly northwestward, roughly parallel to the southwestern coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Reinhart/Pasch

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-06-13 19:47:48| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 131747 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Sun Jun 13 2021 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A large area of showers and thunderstorms over the Bay of Campeche is associated with a broad low pressure area, and the overall system has become somewhat better organized since yesterday. Slow development is possible during the next few days while the system meanders near the coast of Mexico, and a tropical depression could form late in the week while the system begins to move slowly northward. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall is possible over portions of Central America and southern Mexico during the next several days. Please consult products from your local meteorological service for more information. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. A non-tropical area of low pressure has formed about 150 miles south of Wilmington, North Carolina and is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. This system is forecast to move northeastward for the next few days near the warm Gulf Stream, which could allow for some tropical development to occur while it moves away from the United States. The low should be over cold waters south of Nova Scotia by midweek, ending its development chances. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Blake

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 
 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-06-13 19:41:15| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 131741 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Sun Jun 13 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Carlos, located about 1300 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Satellite images indicate that the weak area of low pressure previously located about a hundred miles south-southwest of Puerto Angel, Mexico has dissipated. Environmental conditions do not appear conducive for the low to re-develop, and therefore formation of a tropical cyclone is not expected. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall is possible over portions of Central America and southern Mexico through early this week. See products from your local meteorological service for more information. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent. An area of low pressure is expected to form by late this week a couple of hundred miles offshore of the coast of southwestern Mexico. Some gradual development is possible thereafter as the system moves slowly northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Latto

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-06-13 13:42:42| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 131142 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Sun Jun 13 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Carlos, located more than 1200 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. A weak area of low pressure located about a hundred miles south-southwest of Puerto Angel, Mexico has become ill-defined while the associated showers and thunderstorms remain disorganized. Environmental conditions do not appear conducive for development, and formation of a tropical cyclone is not anticipated. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall will be possible over portions of Central America and southern Mexico through early next week. See products from your local meteorological service for more information. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Carlos are issued under WMO header WTPZ33 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP3. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Carlos are issued under WMO header WTPZ23 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP3. $$ Forecaster Latto

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-06-13 13:42:31| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 131142 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Sun Jun 13 2021 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A trough of low pressure continues to produce a large area of disorganized cloudiness and showers over the Bay of Campeche. Slow development is possible over the next several days while the broad disturbance moves little, and a tropical depression could form in this area late in the week. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall will be possible over portions of Central America and southern Mexico during the next several days. Please consult products from your local meteorological service for more information. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. $$ Forecaster Blake

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

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