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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-10-08 20:23:23| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
440 ABPZ20 KNHC 081732 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Fri Oct 8 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A tropical wave is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms a few hundred miles south of the coasts of Guatemala and southern Mexico. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for development, and a tropical depression or tropical storm is expected to form by late this weekend or early next week while the system moves westward to west-northwestward at about 15 mph south of the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. $$ Forecaster Berg
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-10-08 19:58:56| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 081758 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Fri Oct 8 2021 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Satellite images and surface observations indicate that the low pressure system located a couple of hundred miles east of the coast of South Carolina is gradually becoming better defined. Although the associated shower and thunderstorm activity is currently disorganized, environmental conditions could briefly become marginally conducive for the low to acquire subtropical characteristics by Saturday night and early Sunday. By early next week, the low is expected to interact with a frontal boundary, which should end the opportunity for any subtropical or tropical formation. The low is forecast to meander offshore the Carolinas today, and then slowly move back toward the west-northwest and northwest on Saturday, bringing the system closer to the coast of North Carolina. Interests along the coast of North and South Carolina should monitor the progress of this system. Regardless of development, intermittent periods of locally heavy rains and gusty winds will affect eastern portions of the Carolinas through the weekend. An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate the system Saturday afternoon, if necessary. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-10-08 13:33:46| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 081133 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Fri Oct 8 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A tropical wave is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms a few hundred miles south of the coasts of El Salvador, Guatemala, and southern Mexico. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for development, and a tropical depression is likely to form late this weekend or early next week while the system moves westward to west-northwestward at about 15 mph south of the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. $$ Forecaster Berg
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-10-08 13:24:14| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 081124 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Fri Oct 8 2021 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: An elongated area of low pressure located more than 150 miles off the coast of South Carolina is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms well to the east of the center of circulation. Strong upper-level winds should prevent any significant tropical or subtropical development during the next day or two. By Sunday, however, environmental conditions could briefly become marginally conducive for some subtropical development of the low. By early next week, the low is expected to interact with a frontal boundary, which should end the opportunity for any subtropical or tropical formation. Regardless of development, the low is forecast to meander just offshore the Carolinas for the next few days, occasionally bringing locally heavy rains and gusty winds to eastern portions of the Carolinas through the weekend. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-10-08 07:15:43| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 080515 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Thu Oct 7 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A tropical wave moving offshore of the Pacific coast of Central America is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms over portions of Central America and the adjacent eastern Pacific waters. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for development over the next several days, and a tropical depression is likely to form over the weekend or early next week while the system moves westward to west-northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. $$ Forecaster Latto/Papin
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
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