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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2020-10-05 07:30:21| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 050530 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Mon Oct 5 2020 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Gamma, located over the extreme southern Gulf of Mexico just north of the Yucatan Peninsula, and on newly formed Tropical Depression Twenty-Six, located over the northwestern Caribbean Sea just south of Jamaica. Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days. && Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Twenty-Six are issued under WMO header WTNT31 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT1. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Twenty-Six are issued under WMO header WTNT21 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT1. $$ Forecaster Stewart

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2020-10-05 01:09:59| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 042309 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Sun Oct 4 2020 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Gamma, located just north of the Yucatan Peninsula over the extreme southern Gulf of Mexico. The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone Twenty-Six, located over the northwestern Caribbean Sea. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...near 100 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...near 100 percent. Shower activity has decreased in association with a trough of low pressure located over the central Atlantic about 800 miles east-southeast of Bermuda. This system is expected to move west-southwestward into a region of strong upper-level winds and development is not expected. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent. && Public Advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone Twenty-Six are issued under WMO header WTNT31 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT1. Forecast/Advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone Twenty-Six are issued under WMO header WTNT21 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT1. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 
 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2020-10-05 01:08:23| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 042308 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Sun Oct 4 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Marie, located over the western part of the basin. Showers and thunderstorms are showing some signs of organization in association with an area of low pressure located several hundred miles south of the southwestern coast of Mexico. Environmental conditions appear conducive for some additional development, and a tropical depression could form during the next couple of days while it drifts northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. An area of low pressure could form south-southeast of the Gulf of Tehuantepec in a couple of days. Development, if any, of this system should be slow to occur while it moves slowly northward toward the coasts of Mexico and Guatemala. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2020-10-04 19:43:16| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 041743 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Sun Oct 4 2020 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Gamma, located just north of the Yucatan Peninsula over the extreme southern Gulf of Mexico. A broad area of low pressure is located over the central Caribbean Sea, a little less than 100 miles south-southeast of eastern Jamaica. Recent satellite wind data and visible satellite imagery indicate that the circulation is gradually becoming better defined, however, the associated shower and thunderstorm activity has changed little in organization since this morning. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for additional development, and a tropical depression is likely to form within the next day or so, while the system moves over the central and northwestern Caribbean Sea. The disturbance is forecast to move near Jamaica through Monday, and then pass near the Cayman Islands early Tuesday and approach western Cuba by late Tuesday, and interests in those areas should closely monitor the progress of this system. The low is forecast to move into the southern or southeastern Gulf of Mexico Tuesday night or Wednesday. Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall and gusty winds will be possible across portions of Hispaniola, Jamaica, the Cayman Islands, and Cuba during the next few days. This rainfall could lead to life-threatening flash floods and mudslides. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. Showers and thunderstorms associated with a tropical wave over the central tropical Atlantic have become limited today. The system is moving into an area of strong upper-level winds and development of this system is not anticipated. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent. An area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the central Atlantic about 1000 miles east-southeast of Bermuda is associated with a surface trough of low pressure. This system is expected to move toward the west-southwest at around 10 mph, and some slow development is possible during the next couple of days before it encounters strong upper-level winds. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. $$ Forecaster Brown

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2020-10-04 19:39:16| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 041739 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Sun Oct 4 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Marie, located in the western region of the basin. Showers and thunderstorms have changed little since yesterday in association with an elongated area of low pressure located several hundred miles south of the southwestern coast of Mexico. Environmental conditions appear conducive for additional development, and a tropical depression could still form during the next few days while it moves slowly northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. An area of low pressure could form south-southeast of the Gulf of Tehuantepec early next week. Thereafter, development, if any, should be slow to occur while it drifts northward offshore of the coasts of Mexico and Guatemala. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. $$ Forecaster Roberts

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

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