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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2020-09-20 19:33:31| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 201733 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Sun Sep 20 2020 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Beta, located over the western Gulf of Mexico, on Hurricane Teddy, located a few hundred miles south-southeast of Bermuda, and on recently downgraded Tropical Depression Wilfred, located over the central tropical Atlantic. Post-Tropical Cyclone Paulette is located a few hundred miles south of the Azores and continues to produce disorganized shower activity to the northwest and north of its center of circulation. This system is drifting southward over marginally warm waters and is expected to begin moving eastward in a couple of days. The cyclone could develop tropical or subtropical characteristics during the next day or two. For more information about marine hazards associated with this system, see High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. A small low pressure system has moved inland over the south-central Florida peninsula and is located just to the northwest of Lake Okeechobee. Although shower activity is currently disorganized, some development could occur when the low moves westward over the eastern Gulf of Mexico later tonight and on Monday. However, by late Tuesday or Wednesday, upper-level winds are expected to become unfavorable for tropical cyclone formation while the system moves westward to west-northwestward at about 10 mph. For more information on this disturbance, please see local products and High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. && High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France can be found under WMO header FQNT50 LFPW and are available on the web at www.meteofrance.com/previsions-meteo-marine/bulletin/grandlarge/ metarea2 Local forecast products issued by the National Weather Service are available on the web at www.weather.gov. High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php $$ Forecaster Stewart

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2020-09-20 19:33:06| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 201732 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Sun Sep 20 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Satellite images indicate that the circulation associated with the low pressure system centered about 350 miles southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico, has become better defined today, with thunderstorm activity still showing signs of organization. If this trend continues, advisories could be initiated on a tropical depression later today or tonight, and environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for additional development while the system moves west-northwestward at about 10 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...near 100 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...near 100 percent. $$ Forecaster Blake

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 
 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2020-09-20 13:51:23| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 201151 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Sun Sep 20 2020 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Beta, located over the western Gulf of Mexico, on Hurricane Teddy, located a few hundred miles south-southeast of Bermuda, and on Tropical Storm Wilfred, located over the central tropical Atlantic. Post-Tropical Cyclone Paulette is located a few hundred miles south of the Azores and continues to produce a few showers, well to the northwest and north of its center of circulation. This system is drifting southward over marginally warm waters and is expected to begin moving eastward in a couple of days. The cyclone could develop tropical or subtropical characteristics during the next day or two. For more information about marine hazards associated with this system, see High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. A small and weak low pressure system, located near a frontal boundary just off the coast of east-central Florida, is producing a small area of thunderstorms mainly offshore the coast. The low is expected to move inland over Florida or dissipate later today, and significant development is not anticipated. For more information on this system, please see local products and High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. && High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France can be found under WMO header FQNT50 LFPW and are available on the web at www.meteofrance.com/previsions-meteo-marine/bulletin/grandlarge/ metarea2 Local forecast products issued by the National Weather Service are available on the web at www.weather.gov. High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php $$ Forecaster Stewart

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2020-09-20 13:28:54| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 201128 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Sun Sep 20 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low pressure located a couple of hundred miles south-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico, continue to show signs of organization. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for additional development, and a tropical depression is expected to form during the next day or so while the system moves west-northwestward at about 10 mph, away from the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. $$ Forecaster Blake

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2020-09-20 07:20:20| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 200520 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Sat Sep 19 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low pressure located a couple of hundred miles south-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico, are showing signs of organization. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for additional development, and a tropical depression is expected to form early next week while the system moves west-northwestward at about 10 mph, away from the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

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