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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2020-07-07 07:21:07| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 070520 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Mon Jul 6 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently upgraded Tropical Storm Cristina, located several hundred miles south-southeast of Manzanillo, Mexico. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located a little more than 1000 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula are associated with a broad area of low pressure. Some slow development of this system is possible over the next few days while it moves little. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. An area of low pressure is forecast to form south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec late this week. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for subsequent gradual development this weekend while the system moves westward well south of the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. && Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Cristina are issued under WMO header WTPZ35 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP5. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Cristina are issued under WMO header WTPZ25 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP5. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2020-07-07 01:24:35| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 062324 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Mon Jul 6 2020 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center has issued the last advisory on Post-Tropical Cyclone Edouard, located several hundred miles southeast of Newfoundland. A low pressure area centered inland over southern Georgia is forecast to move northeastward near the coast of the Carolinas and the mid-Atlantic during the next few days. Some development of this system is possible if the system moves over water in two or three days. Regardless of development, the low is forecast to produce locally heavy rainfall that could cause flash flooding across portions of the southeastern U.S. during the next couple of days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. A fast-moving tropical wave continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms a few hundred miles east of the Windward Islands. This disturbance has become less organized today, and development is not expected. The wave is forecast to move through the Lesser Antilles on Tuesday and could produce locally heavy rainfall and gusty winds on some of those islands. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent. $$ Forecaster Blake

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 
 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2020-07-07 01:19:06| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 062318 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Mon Jul 6 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on newly formed Tropical Depression Five-E, located several hundred miles south of Acapulco, Mexico. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located more than 1000 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula are associated with a broad area of low pressure. Some gradual development of this system is still possible over the next several days while it moves little. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. An area of low pressure is forecast to form south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec late this week. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for subsequent gradual development this weekend while the system moves westward well south of the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. && Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Five-E are issued under WMO header WTPZ35 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP5. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Five-E are issued under WMO header WTPZ25 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP5. $$ Forecaster Stewart

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2020-07-06 19:46:27| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 061746 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Mon Jul 6 2020 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Edouard, located several hundred miles south-southeast of Newfoundland. A low pressure system is centered inland over southern Georgia. The low is forecast to move northeastward, near the coast of the Carolinas and the mid-Atlantic during the next few days. No development is expected while the low remains over land, however some development will be possible if the system moves over water later this week. Regardless of development, the low is forecast to produce locally heavy rainfall that could cause flash flooding across portions of the southeast U.S. during the next couple of days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. A fast-moving tropical wave continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms a few hundred miles east of the Windward Islands. This disturbance has not become any better organized today, and development is becoming unlikely. The wave is forecast to move through the Lesser Antilles on Tuesday and could produce locally heavy rainfall and gusty winds on some of those islands. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2020-07-06 19:38:59| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 061738 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Mon Jul 6 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with a broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles south of Acapulco, Mexico, have become better organized since yesterday. Environmental conditions are conducive for additional development, and a tropical depression is likely to form within the next day or so while the system moves west-northwestward, well south of the coast of southern Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. Showers and thunderstorms associated with an elongated area of low pressure located several hundred miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula have become limited. Development of this system is no longer expected, and it is likely to merge with another disturbance to its southwest within the next day or two. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located more than 1000 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula are associated with a broad area of low pressure. Some gradual development of this system is possible over the next several days while it moves little. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. Another area of low pressure is forecast to form south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec late this week. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for subsequent gradual development this weekend while the system moves westward well south of the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Brown

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

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