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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-05-15 19:25:59| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 151725 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Fri May 15 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days. Today marks the first day of the eastern North Pacific hurricane season, which will run until November 30. Long-term averages for the number of named storms, hurricanes, and major hurricanes are 15, 8, and 4, respectively. The list of names for 2020 is as follows: Name Pronunciation Name Pronunciation ------------------------------------------------------------- Amanda uh-MAN-duh Marie muh-REE Boris bor-EES Norbert NOR-bert Cristina kris-TEE-nuh Odalys oh_DAL-ess Douglas DUG-luss Polo POH-loh Elida ELL-ee-dah Rachel RAY-chull Fausto FOW-sto Simon SY-muhn Genevieve jeh-nuh-VEEV Trudy TROO-dee Hernan her-NAHN Vance vanss Iselle ee-SELL Winnie WIN-ee Julio HOO-lee-o Xavier ZAY-vee-ur Karina kuh-REE-nuh Yolanda yo-LAHN-da Lowell LO-uhl Zeke Zeek This product, the Tropical Weather Outlook, briefly describes significant areas of disturbed weather and their potential for tropical cyclone formation during the next five days. The issuance times of this product are 5 AM, 11 AM, 5 PM, and 11 PM PDT. After the change to standard time in November, the issuance times are 4 AM, 10 AM, 4 PM, and 10 PM PST. A Special Tropical Weather Outlook will be issued to provide updates, as necessary, in between the regularly scheduled issuances of the Tropical Weather Outlook. Special Tropical Weather Outlooks will be issued under the same WMO and AWIPS headers as the regular Tropical Weather Outlooks. A standard package of products, consisting of the tropical cyclone public advisory, the forecast/advisory, the cyclone discussion, and a wind speed probability product, is issued every six hours for all ongoing tropical cyclones. In addition, a special advisory package may be issued at any time to advise of significant unexpected changes or to modify watches or warnings. NHC has the option to issue advisories, watches, and warnings for disturbances that are not yet a tropical cyclone, but which pose the threat of bringing tropical storm or hurricane conditions to land areas within 48 hours. For these land-threatening "potential tropical cyclones", NHC will issue the full suite of advisory and watch/warning products that previously had been issued only for tropical cyclones. Potential tropical cyclones will share the naming conventions currently in place for tropical depressions, being numbered from a single list (e.g., "One-E", "Two-E", "Three-E", etc.). The Tropical Cyclone Update is a brief statement to inform of significant changes in a tropical cyclone, to post or cancel watches or warnings, or to provide hourly position updates between intermediate advisories when the storm center is easily followed by radar. The Tropical Cyclone Update is also used in lieu of or to precede the issuance of a special advisory package. Tropical Cyclone Updates, which can be issued at any time, can be found under WMO header WTPZ61-65 KNHC, and under AWIPS header MIATCUEP1-5. All NHC text and graphical products are available on the web at https://www.hurricanes.gov. More information NHC text products can be found at https://www.hurricanes.govaboutnhcprod.shtml, while more information about NHC graphical products can be found at https://www.hurricanes.gov/aboutnhcgraphics.shtml. You can also interact with NHC on Facebook at https://www.facebook.com/NWSNHC. Notifications are available via Twitter when select NHC products are issued. Information about our east Pacific Twitter feed is available at https://www.hurricanes.gov/twitter.shtml. $$ Forecaster Latto
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-05-15 14:48:30| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 151248 TWOAT Special Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 850 AM EDT Fri May 15 2020 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Special Tropical Weather Outlook issued to discuss the potential for tropical or subtropical development near the northwest Bahamas. A trough of low pressure located over the Straits of Florida continues to produce disorganized shower activity and gusty winds across the Florida Keys, portions of southeast Florida, and the northwestern Bahamas. Gradual development of this system is expected, and it will likely become a tropical or subtropical storm on Saturday when it is located near the northwestern Bahamas. Later in the weekend and early next week, the system is expected to move generally northeastward over the western Atlantic. Regardless of development, the disturbance will continue to bring heavy rainfall to portions of the Florida Keys, southeast Florida and the Bahamas through Saturday. Tropical-storm-force wind gusts are also possible across portions of the Florida Keys, southeast Florida, and the Bahamas during the next day or so. In addition, hazardous marine conditions are expected along the Florida east coast and in the Bahamas where Gale Warnings are in effect. Dangerous surf conditions and rip currents are possible along portions of the southeast U.S. coast this weekend and early next week. See products from your local weather office and High Seas Forecasts for more details. The Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft scheduled to investigate the system today has been canceled, but an aircraft is scheduled to investigate the disturbance tomorrow, if necessary. The next Special Tropical Weather Outlook on this system will be issued by 3 PM EDT today, or earlier, if necessary. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. && High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and available on the Web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.shtml. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-05-15 13:28:30| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 151128 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Fri May 15 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days. Today marks the first day of the eastern North Pacific hurricane season, which will run until November 30. Long-term averages for the number of named storms, hurricanes, and major hurricanes are 15, 8, and 4, respectively. The list of names for 2020 is as follows: Name Pronunciation Name Pronunciation ------------------------------------------------------------- Amanda uh-MAN-duh Marie muh-REE Boris bor-EES Norbert NOR-bert Cristina kris-TEE-nuh Odalys oh_DAL-ess Douglas DUG-luss Polo POH-loh Elida ELL-ee-dah Rachel RAY-chull Fausto FOW-sto Simon SY-muhn Genevieve jeh-nuh-VEEV Trudy TROO-dee Hernan her-NAHN Vance vanss Iselle ee-SELL Winne WIN-ee Julio HOO-lee-o Xavier ZAY-vee-ur Karina kuh-REE-nuh Yolanda yo-LAHN-da Lowell LO-uhl Zeke Zeek This product, the Tropical Weather Outlook, briefly describes significant areas of disturbed weather and their potential for tropical cyclone formation during the next five days. The issuance times of this product are 5 AM, 11 AM, 5 PM, and 11 PM PDT. After the change to standard time in November, the issuance times are 4 AM, 10 AM, 4 PM, and 10 PM PST. A Special Tropical Weather Outlook will be issued to provide updates, as necessary, in between the regularly scheduled issuances of the Tropical Weather Outlook. Special Tropical Weather Outlooks will be issued under the same WMO and AWIPS headers as the regular Tropical Weather Outlooks. A standard package of products, consisting of the tropical cyclone public advisory, the forecast/advisory, the cyclone discussion, and a wind speed probability product, is issued every six hours for all ongoing tropical cyclones. In addition, a special advisory package may be issued at any time to advise of significant unexpected changes or to modify watches or warnings. NHC has the option to issue advisories, watches, and warnings for disturbances that are not yet a tropical cyclone, but which pose the threat of bringing tropical storm or hurricane conditions to land areas within 48 hours. For these land-threatening "potential tropical cyclones", NHC will issue the full suite of advisory and watch/warning products that previously had been issued only for tropical cyclones. Potential tropical cyclones will share the naming conventions currently in place for tropical depressions, being numbered from a single list (e.g., "One-E", "Two-E", "Three-E", etc.). The Tropical Cyclone Update is a brief statement to inform of significant changes in a tropical cyclone, to post or cancel watches or warnings, or to provide hourly position updates between intermediate advisories when the storm center is easily followed by radar. The Tropical Cyclone Update is also used in lieu of or to precede the issuance of a special advisory package. Tropical Cyclone Updates, which can be issued at any time, can be found under WMO header WTPZ61-65 KNHC, and under AWIPS header MIATCUEP1-5. All NHC text and graphical products are available on the web at https://www.hurricanes.gov. More information NHC text products can be found at https://www.hurricanes.govaboutnhcprod.shtml, while more information about NHC graphical products can be found at https://www.hurricanes.gov/aboutnhcgraphics.shtml. You can also interact with NHC on Facebook at https://www.facebook.com/NWSNHC. Notifications are available via Twitter when select NHC products are issued. Information about our east Pacific Twitter feed is available at https://www.hurricanes.gov/twitter.shtml. $$ Forecaster Latto
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-05-15 02:00:54| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 150000 TWOAT Special Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Thu May 14 2020 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Special Tropical Weather Outlook issued to discuss the potential for tropical or subtropical development near the northwest Bahamas. A trough of low pressure located over the Straits of Florida continues to produce disorganized shower activity and gusty winds across the Florida Keys, portions of extreme south Florida, and the northwestern Bahamas. Gradual development of this system is expected, and it will likely become a tropical or subtropical storm by late Friday or Saturday when it is located near the northwestern Bahamas. Later in the weekend and early next week, the system is expected to move generally northeastward over the western Atlantic. Regardless of development, the disturbance will continue to bring heavy rainfall to portions of the Florida Keys, southeast Florida and the Bahamas through Saturday. Tropical-storm-force wind gusts are also possible across portions of the Florida Keys, southeast Florida, and the Bahamas during the next day or two. In addition, hazardous marine conditions are expected along the Florida east coast and in the Bahamas where Gale Warnings are in effect. See products from your local weather office and High Seas Forecasts for more details. An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate this system tomorrow, if necessary. The next Special Tropical Weather Outlook on this system will be issued by 9 AM EDT Friday, or earlier, if necessary. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. && High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and available on the Web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.shtml. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-05-14 20:37:53| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 141837 TWOAT Special Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 240 PM EDT Thu May 14 2020 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Special Tropical Weather Outlook issued to discuss the potential for tropical or subtropical development near the northwest Bahamas. A trough of low pressure over the Straits of Florida is producing a large area of cloudiness and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are expected to become conducive for development, and this system is likely to become a tropical or subtropical storm by late Friday or Saturday when it is located near the northwestern Bahamas. The system is then forecast to move generally northeastward over the western Atlantic early next week. Regardless of development, the disturbance has the potential to bring heavy rainfall to portions of the Florida Keys, southeast Florida, and the Bahamas through Saturday. Tropical-storm-force wind gusts are also possible in the Florida Keys, southeast Florida, and the Bahamas during the next day or two. Hazardous marine conditions are also expected along the Florida east coast and in the Bahamas where Gale Warnings are in effect. See products from your local weather office and High Seas Forecasts for more details. An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate this system tomorrow, if necessary. The next Special Tropical Weather Outlook on this system will be issued by 9 PM EDT today, or earlier, if necessary. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. && High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and available on the Web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.shtml. $$ Forecaster Brown
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
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