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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2019-09-01 13:50:23| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 011150 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Sun Sep 1 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Dorian, located near the Abacos. A broad area of low pressure associated with a tropical wave is located just south of the Cabo Verde Islands. This system has become better organized since yesterday, and environmental conditions appear conducive for additional development during the next several days. A tropical depression is likely to form by the middle of the week while the system moves generally northwestward across the eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean. Heavy rainfall is possible over portions of the southern Cabo Verde Islands during the next couple of days, and interests on those islands should monitor the progress of this system. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. Another broad area of low pressure is located over the south-central Gulf of Mexico. This disturbance is producing limited and disorganized shower activity. Some gradual development of this system is possible during the next few days while it moves slowly westward across the southern and southwestern Gulf of Mexico toward the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. An area of disturbed weather is located several hundred miles south-southeast of Bermuda. Some gradual development of this system is possible during the next few days while it moves slowly northward or north-northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2019-09-01 13:41:57| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 011141 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Sun Sep 1 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on newly formed Tropical Storm Juliette, located several hundred miles south-southwest of Mexico. Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days. && Public Advisories on Juliette are issued under WMO header WTPZ31 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP1. Forecast/Advisories on Juliette are issued under WMO header WTPZ21 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP1. $$ Forecaster Blake

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 
 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2019-09-01 07:41:00| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 010540 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Sun Sep 1 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Dorian, located about 100 miles east of the northwestern Bahamas. A tropical wave accompanied by a broad low pressure area is located about 150 miles south the Cabo Verde Islands. Although this disturbance continues to produce disorganized thunderstorms, environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for development of this disturbance, and a tropical depression could form during the early or middle part of next week while the system moves northwestward across the eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean. Heavy rainfall is possible over portions of the southern Cabo Verde Islands during the next couple of days, and interests on those islands should monitor the progress of this system. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. A broad area of low pressure located over the south-central Gulf of Mexico is producing limited shower activity. Some gradual development of this system is possible during the next few days while it moves slowly westward across the southern and southwestern Gulf of Mexico toward the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2019-09-01 07:33:18| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 010533 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Sat Aug 31 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Showers and thunderstorms are showing signs of organization and a tropical cyclone could be forming several hundred miles southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico. Recent satellite-derived winds indicate that this low pressure system is already producing surface winds to near tropical storm force east of the center. Environmental conditions are conducive for further development, and a tropical depression or a tropical storm is likely to form on Sunday while the system moves west-northwestward to northwestward at around 10 mph. For additional information see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...near 100 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...near 100 percent. && High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php $$ Forecaster Stewart

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2019-09-01 02:04:50| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 010004 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook...Corrected NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Sat Aug 31 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Updated to include High Seas Forecasts reference Showers and thunderstorms continue to become better organized in association with a broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles south-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico. Environmental conditions appear conducive for further development of this system, and a tropical depression is expected to form during the next day or so while the system moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. For additional information see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. && High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php $$ Forecaster Cangialosi

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

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