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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-08-23 13:39:04| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 231138 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Fri Aug 23 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Chantal, located about 765 miles west of the Azores. Surface and radar data indicate that a weak area of low pressure is located just east of the upper Florida Keys and the southeastern coast of the Florida peninsula. This system is producing a large area of disorganized cloudiness and showers that extends primarily northeast of the center over the northwestern Bahamas and the adjacent Atlantic Ocean. The low is forecast to move near or over the Florida peninsula through tonight, which should limit development during that time. Environmental conditions appear conducive for development once the system moves northeastward back over the Atlantic waters on Saturday. A tropical depression is likely to form this weekend or early next week while the low moves from near the coast of east-central Florida to offshore of the southeastern United States coast. Regardless of development, locally heavy rains are possible over the northwestern Bahamas and southern and central Florida through the weekend. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. Showers and thunderstorms have increased since yesterday in association with a tropical wave located about 1400 miles east-southeast of the Windward Islands. Additional slow development of this system is possible during the next few days as it moves generally westward at about 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Beven
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-08-23 13:37:29| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 231137 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Fri Aug 23 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Ivo, located several hundred miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. A surface trough located about 1000 miles east-southeast of the Big Island of Hawaii is producing disorganized cloudiness and showers. Although this disturbance is not currently showing any signs of development, environmental conditions could become a little more conducive for some development in the central Pacific basin well to the east of the Hawaiian Islands in a few days as the system moves slowly northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Latto/Beven
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-08-23 07:35:24| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 230535 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Fri Aug 23 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Chantal, located about 850 miles southeast of Cape Race, Newfoundland. Recent satellite-derived wind data indicate that a weak area of low pressure is located between the southeastern coast of Florida and Andros Island in the northwestern Bahamas. The system is producing a large area of disorganized cloudiness and showers that extend primarily northeast of the center over the adjacent Atlantic Ocean. The low is forecast to move near or over Florida later today, which should limit development during the next day or so. Environmental conditions appear conducive for development once the system moves back over the Atlantic waters, and a tropical depression could form over the weekend or early next week while the low moves near the coast of east-central Florida and then offshore of the southeastern United States coast. Regardless of development, locally heavy rains are possible over the northwestern Bahamas and southern and central Florida during the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. $$ Forecaster Berg
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-08-23 07:03:59| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 230503 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Thu Aug 22 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Ivo, located several hundred miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. A surface trough located about 1100 miles east-southeast of the Big Island of Hawaii continues to produce disorganized cloudiness and showers. Although this disturbance is not showing any signs of development at this time, environmental conditions could become a little more conducive for some development in the central Pacific well to the east of the Hawaiian Islands in a few days. The system is forecast to move slowly northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Avila
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-08-23 01:33:51| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 222333 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Thu Aug 22 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Chantal, located several hundred miles southeast of Cape Race, Newfoundland. Satellite and surface observations show that a broad area of low pressure has formed just northwest of Andros Island in the central Bahamas. This system continues to produce a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms that extend eastward over the western Atlantic for a few hundred miles. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for additional development during the next several days, and a tropical depression could form over the weekend or early next week while the system moves near the coast of east-central Florida and then offshore of the southeast United States coast. Regardless of development, locally heavy rains are possible over portions of the central and northwest Bahamas, and the east-central and southeast Florida peninsula during the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. $$ Forecaster Brown/Roberts
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
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