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Summary for Subtropical Storm ALEX (AT1/AL012016)
2016-01-14 09:42:06| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...ALEX CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN... ...EXPECTED TO AFFECT THE AZORES TONIGHT AND FRIDAY... As of 5:00 AM AST Thu Jan 14 the center of ALEX was located near 30.1, -29.3 with movement NNE at 18 mph. The minimum central pressure was 984 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 70 mph.
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Subtropical Storm ALEX Public Advisory Number 3
2016-01-14 09:42:06| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 500 AM AST THU JAN 14 2016 000 WTNT31 KNHC 140841 TCPAT1 BULLETIN SUBTROPICAL STORM ALEX ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012016 500 AM AST THU JAN 14 2016 ...ALEX CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN... ...EXPECTED TO AFFECT THE AZORES TONIGHT AND FRIDAY... SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...30.1N 29.3W ABOUT 560 MI...905 KM SSW OF THE AZORES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 20 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...984 MB...29.06 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- Interests in the Azores should monitor the progress of Alex. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Subtropical Storm Alex was located near latitude 30.1 North, longitude 29.3 West. The storm is moving toward the north-northeast near 18 mph (30 km/h). A turn toward the north with an increase in forward speed is expected by this afternoon. On the forecast track, the center of Alex will move through the central Azores late tonight or early Friday. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 70 mph (110 km/h) with higher gusts. Some fluctuations in strength are possible during the next 48 hours. Alex is expected to move through the Azores with storm-force winds Thursday night and Friday. Winds of 40 mph extend outward up to 150 miles (240 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 984 mb (29.06 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Gale-force winds are expected to begin over portions of Azores by tonight and continue into early Friday. Storm-force winds are possible over portions of the Azores on Friday. Wind speeds atop and on the windward sides of hills and mountains are often up to 30 percent stronger than indicated in this advisory, and in some elevated locations can be even greater. RAINFALL: Alex is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 3 to 5 inches over the Azores through Friday, with possible isolated maximum amounts of 7 inches. These rains could produce life-threatening flash floods and mudslides. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Stewart
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Subtropical Storm ALEX Forecast Advisory Number 3
2016-01-14 09:39:08| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC THU JAN 14 2016 000 WTNT21 KNHC 140838 TCMAT1 SUBTROPICAL STORM ALEX FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012016 0900 UTC THU JAN 14 2016 INTERESTS IN THE AZORES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ALEX. SUBTROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.1N 29.3W AT 14/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 20 DEGREES AT 16 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 984 MB EYE DIAMETER 15 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT. 50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT.......120NE 130SE 100SW 30NW. 12 FT SEAS..300NE 300SE 150SW 240NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.1N 29.3W AT 14/0900Z AT 14/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.3N 29.6W FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 32.4N 28.3W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...120NE 130SE 100SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 36.4N 27.6W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...150NE 190SE 120SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 42.0N 28.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT...130NE 90SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...360NE 240SE 90SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 49.1N 29.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT...240NE 120SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...360NE 240SE 90SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 60.0N 40.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT...240NE 0SE 0SW 150NW. 34 KT...420NE 360SE 120SW 180NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 18/0600Z...MERGED WITH EXTRATROPICAL LOW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.1N 29.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/1500Z $$ FORECASTER STEWART
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Subtropical Storm ALEX Graphics
2016-01-14 04:09:02| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Thu, 14 Jan 2016 02:46:12 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Thu, 14 Jan 2016 03:04:49 GMT
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Summary for Subtropical Storm ALEX (AT1/AL012016)
2016-01-14 03:44:31| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...ALEX STRENGTHENS A LITTLE... ...FORECAST TO MOVE TOWARD THE AZORES... As of 11:00 PM AST Wed Jan 13 the center of ALEX was located near 28.7, -30.0 with movement NE at 17 mph. The minimum central pressure was 988 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 60 mph.
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