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Post-Tropical Cyclone Kyle Graphics
2020-08-16 10:48:02| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sun, 16 Aug 2020 08:48:02 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sun, 16 Aug 2020 09:31:44 GMT
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Post-Tropical Cyclone Kyle Forecast Discussion Number 7
2020-08-16 10:47:32| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 500 AM AST Sun Aug 16 2020 000 WTNT42 KNHC 160847 TCDAT2 Post-Tropical Cyclone Kyle Discussion Number 7 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL122020 500 AM AST Sun Aug 16 2020 Shortwave infrared satellite imagery and earlier ASCAT data indicate that Kyle's circulation has become very elongated, and the center has become ill defined. Model analyses and satellite imagery also suggest that the low is now attached to a prominent warm/stationary front to its east and a weaker trailing cold front to its southwest. Therefore, Kyle has become an extratropical low, and its maximum winds are estimated to be 35 kt based on the earlier ASCAT data. Global models indicate that Kyle's winds should continue to decrease over the next couple of days, with the system dissipating or becoming absorbed by another area of low pressure in about 48 hours. The initial motion is eastward, or 080/17 kt. Since Kyle is embedded in zonal mid-latitude flow, this general heading and speed are expected to continue during the next day or two until the cyclone dissipates. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 16/0900Z 40.0N 58.9W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 12H 16/1800Z 40.4N 55.7W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 24H 17/0600Z 40.4N 51.8W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 36H 17/1800Z 39.9N 47.5W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 48H 18/0600Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Berg
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kyle
Summary for Post-Tropical Cyclone Kyle (AT2/AL122020)
2020-08-16 10:46:32| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...KYLE BECOMES EXTRATROPICAL OVER THE NORTH ATLANTIC... ...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY... As of 5:00 AM AST Sun Aug 16 the center of Kyle was located near 40.0, -58.9 with movement E at 20 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1003 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 40 mph.
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kyle
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Post-Tropical Cyclone Kyle Public Advisory Number 7
2020-08-16 10:46:32| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 500 AM AST Sun Aug 16 2020 000 WTNT32 KNHC 160846 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Post-Tropical Cyclone Kyle Advisory Number 7 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL122020 500 AM AST Sun Aug 16 2020 ...KYLE BECOMES EXTRATROPICAL OVER THE NORTH ATLANTIC... ...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY... SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...40.0N 58.9W ABOUT 545 MI...880 KM SW OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...E OR 80 DEGREES AT 20 MPH...31 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Kyle was located near latitude 40.0 North, longitude 58.9 West. The post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the east near 20 mph (31 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue through Monday before the system dissipates. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast before the system dissipates by Monday night. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on this system. Additional information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php $$ Forecaster Berg
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kyle
Post-Tropical Cyclone Kyle Wind Speed Probabilities Number 7
2020-08-16 10:46:32| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC SUN AUG 16 2020 000 FONT12 KNHC 160846 PWSAT2 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE KYLE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 7 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122020 0900 UTC SUN AUG 16 2020 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE KYLE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 40.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 58.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER BERG
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