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Tropical Depression Four-E Wind Speed Probabilities Number 1

2018-06-14 22:33:22| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 2100 UTC THU JUN 14 2018 000 FOPZ14 KNHC 142033 PWSEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042018 2100 UTC THU JUN 14 2018 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 100.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 15N 105W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) BARRA NAVIDAD 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) MANZANILLO 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) L CARDENAS 34 1 1( 2) 3( 5) 6(11) 7(18) 3(21) X(21) L CARDENAS 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) ZIHUATANEJO 34 1 5( 6) 7(13) 8(21) 9(30) 2(32) X(32) ZIHUATANEJO 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) ZIHUATANEJO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 15N 100W 34 3 5( 8) 6(14) 6(20) 7(27) 3(30) X(30) 15N 100W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) 15N 100W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) ACAPULCO 34 4 8(12) 13(25) 10(35) 8(43) 2(45) X(45) ACAPULCO 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) 4(11) X(11) X(11) ACAPULCO 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) P MALDONADO 34 X 2( 2) 4( 6) 8(14) 8(22) 4(26) X(26) P MALDONADO 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) P MALDONADO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) P ANGEL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) HUATULCO 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) $$ FORECASTER BLAKE

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Tropical Storm Bud Wind Speed Probabilities Number 20

2018-06-14 16:53:16| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 1500 UTC THU JUN 14 2018 000 FOPZ13 KNHC 141453 PWSEP3 TROPICAL STORM BUD WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 20 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032018 1500 UTC THU JUN 14 2018 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BUD WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT CABO SAN LUCAS 34 76 1(77) X(77) X(77) X(77) X(77) X(77) CABO SAN LUCAS 50 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) SAN JOSE CABO 34 66 3(69) X(69) X(69) X(69) X(69) X(69) SAN JOSE CABO 50 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) LA PAZ 34 11 27(38) 1(39) X(39) X(39) X(39) X(39) LA PAZ 50 X 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) LORETO 34 X 4( 4) 10(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) HERMOSILLO 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 9(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) BAHIA KINO 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) GUAYMAS 34 X 1( 1) 7( 8) 6(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) HUATABAMPO 34 X 2( 2) 16(18) 2(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) HUATABAMPO 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) LOS MOCHIS 34 1 5( 6) 6(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) $$ FORECASTER STEWART

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Tropical Storm Bud Wind Speed Probabilities Number 19

2018-06-14 10:36:18| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 0900 UTC THU JUN 14 2018 000 FOPZ13 KNHC 140836 PWSEP3 TROPICAL STORM BUD WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 19 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032018 0900 UTC THU JUN 14 2018 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BUD WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT CABO SAN LUCAS 34 50 23(73) X(73) X(73) X(73) X(73) X(73) CABO SAN LUCAS 50 3 4( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) CABO SAN LUCAS 64 1 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) SAN JOSE CABO 34 40 32(72) X(72) X(72) X(72) X(72) X(72) SAN JOSE CABO 50 2 6( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) SAN JOSE CABO 64 X 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) LA PAZ 34 5 29(34) 7(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) LA PAZ 50 X 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) LA PAZ 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) LORETO 34 X 3( 3) 9(12) 3(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) HERMOSILLO 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) BAHIA KINO 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) GUAYMAS 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 9(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) HUATABAMPO 34 X 2( 2) 6( 8) 7(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) LOS MOCHIS 34 X 5( 5) 6(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) CULIACAN 34 1 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 20N 110W 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER AVILA

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Tropical Storm Bud Wind Speed Probabilities Number 0

2018-06-14 06:21:40| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 0300 UTC THU JUN 14 2018 000 FOPZ13 KNHC 140421 PWSEP3 TROPICAL STORM BUD WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 18...RETRANSMITTED NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032018 0300 UTC THU JUN 14 2018 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BUD WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT CABO SAN LUCAS 34 5 33(38) 11(49) X(49) X(49) X(49) X(49) CABO SAN LUCAS 50 X 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) CABO SAN LUCAS 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) SAN JOSE CABO 34 4 27(31) 15(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) SAN JOSE CABO 50 X 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) LA PAZ 34 X 5( 5) 18(23) 3(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) LA PAZ 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) LORETO 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 5( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) HERMOSILLO 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6) GUAYMAS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 5( 9) X( 9) X( 9) HUATABAMPO 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 14(16) 5(21) X(21) X(21) HUATABAMPO 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) LOS MOCHIS 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 12(16) 1(17) X(17) X(17) CULIACAN 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 20N 110W 34 14 X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI

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Tropical Storm Bud Wind Speed Probabilities Number 18

2018-06-14 04:09:51| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 0300 UTC THU JUN 14 2018 ZCZC MIAPWSEP3 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL STORM BUD WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 18 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032018 0300 UTC THU JUN 14 2018 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BUD WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT CABO SAN LUCAS 34 5 33(38) 11(49) X(49) X(49) X(49) X(49) CABO SAN LUCAS 50 X 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) CABO SAN LUCAS 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) SAN JOSE CABO 34 4 27(31) 15(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) SAN JOSE CABO 50 X 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) LA PAZ 34 X 5( 5) 18(23) 3(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) LA PAZ 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) LORETO 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 5( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) HERMOSILLO 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6) GUAYMAS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 5( 9) X( 9) X( 9) HUATABAMPO 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 14(16) 5(21) X(21) X(21) HUATABAMPO 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) LOS MOCHIS 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 12(16) 1(17) X(17) X(17) CULIACAN 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 20N 110W 34 14 X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI NNNN

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