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Hurricane Lee Wind Speed Probabilities Number 28

2017-09-25 04:32:59| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 0300 UTC MON SEP 25 2017 000 FONT14 KNHC 250232 PWSAT4 HURRICANE LEE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 28 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142017 0300 UTC MON SEP 25 2017 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LEE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 49.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 80 KTS ...90 MPH...150 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI

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Tropical Storm Pilar Wind Speed Probabilities Number 6

2017-09-25 04:31:15| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 0300 UTC MON SEP 25 2017 000 FOPZ13 KNHC 250230 PWSEP3 TROPICAL STORM PILAR WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP182017 0300 UTC MON SEP 25 2017 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM PILAR WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 106.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT CULIACAN 34 X 1( 1) 9(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) MAZATLAN 34 27 17(44) 2(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) MAZATLAN 50 1 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI

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Hurricane Maria Wind Speed Probabilities Number 35

2017-09-24 22:54:58| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 2100 UTC SUN SEP 24 2017 000 FONT15 KNHC 242054 PWSAT5 HURRICANE MARIA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 35 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152017 2100 UTC SUN SEP 24 2017 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MARIA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 73.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 90 KTS...105 MPH...165 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT HYANNIS MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 3( 7) PROVIDENCE RI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) BRIDGEPORT CT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) NEW HAVEN CT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) NEW LONDON CT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) MONTAUK POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) ISLIP NY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 1( 8) NYC JFK AIRPRT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) 1( 8) NYC CNTRL PARK 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 1( 7) NEWARK NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 1( 7) TRENTON NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 4( 8) X( 8) NWS EARLE NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 5( 9) X( 9) ALLENTOWN PA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) PHILADELPHIA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 4( 9) X( 9) ATLANTIC CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 6(15) 1(16) BALTIMORE MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 4( 9) X( 9) DOVER DE 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 6(16) X(16) ANNAPOLIS MD 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 4(12) X(12) WASHINGTON DC 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 3(10) X(10) CAPE HENLOPEN 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 14(16) 6(22) X(22) OCEAN CITY MD 34 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 17(22) 6(28) 1(29) OCEAN CITY MD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) PAX RIVER NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 13(16) 4(20) X(20) WALLOPS CDA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 19(26) 6(32) X(32) WALLOPS CDA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) CHARLOTTESVIL 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) RICHMOND VA 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 12(16) 3(19) X(19) DANVILLE VA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) NORFOLK NAS 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 9(12) 20(32) 6(38) X(38) NORFOLK NAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) NORFOLK NAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) NORFOLK VA 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 9(14) 21(35) 6(41) X(41) NORFOLK VA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) NORFOLK VA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) OCEANA NAS VA 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 11(16) 23(39) 7(46) X(46) OCEANA NAS VA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) OCEANA NAS VA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) ELIZABETH CTY 34 X 1( 1) 8( 9) 12(21) 23(44) 7(51) X(51) ELIZABETH CTY 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 3(11) X(11) ELIZABETH CTY 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) GREENSBORO NC 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) RALEIGH NC 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 8(13) 2(15) X(15) ROCKY MT NC 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 6(11) 13(24) 4(28) X(28) CAPE HATTERAS 34 X 7( 7) 15(22) 25(47) 20(67) 5(72) X(72) CAPE HATTERAS 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 16(22) 5(27) X(27) CAPE HATTERAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 2(10) X(10) FAYETTEVILLE 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) 8(15) 2(17) X(17) CHERRY PT NC 34 X 5( 5) 8(13) 16(29) 17(46) 5(51) X(51) CHERRY PT NC 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) CHERRY PT NC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) NEW RIVER NC 34 1 6( 7) 11(18) 20(38) 18(56) 5(61) X(61) NEW RIVER NC 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 8(12) 2(14) X(14) NEW RIVER NC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) MOREHEAD CITY 34 X 6( 6) 10(16) 17(33) 17(50) 5(55) X(55) MOREHEAD CITY 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 6( 9) 2(11) X(11) MOREHEAD CITY 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) SURF CITY NC 34 X 5( 5) 7(12) 10(22) 13(35) 4(39) X(39) SURF CITY NC 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) WILMINGTON NC 34 X 4( 4) 7(11) 7(18) 12(30) 3(33) X(33) BALD HEAD ISL 34 X 5( 5) 6(11) 7(18) 11(29) 3(32) X(32) FLORENCE SC 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 4( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) LITTLE RIVER 34 X 2( 2) 5( 7) 5(12) 9(21) 2(23) X(23) MYRTLE BEACH 34 X 2( 2) 4( 6) 4(10) 7(17) 2(19) X(19) GEORGETOWN SC 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 3( 7) 5(12) 1(13) X(13) CHARLESTON SC 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) BERMUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 9(12) $$ FORECASTER BROWN

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Tropical Storm Pilar Wind Speed Probabilities Number 5

2017-09-24 22:52:25| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 2100 UTC SUN SEP 24 2017 000 FOPZ13 KNHC 242052 PWSEP3 TROPICAL STORM PILAR WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP182017 2100 UTC SUN SEP 24 2017 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM PILAR WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 105.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT CULIACAN 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) ISLAS MARIAS 34 23 2(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) MAZATLAN 34 1 13(14) 8(22) 3(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) MAZATLAN 50 X 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) SAN BLAS 34 24 2(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) P VALLARTA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) $$ FORECASTER LANDSEA

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Hurricane Lee Wind Speed Probabilities Number 27

2017-09-24 22:32:29| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 2100 UTC SUN SEP 24 2017 000 FONT14 KNHC 242031 PWSAT4 HURRICANE LEE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 27 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142017 2100 UTC SUN SEP 24 2017 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LEE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 49.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 80 KTS ...90 MPH...150 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER LANDSEA

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